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Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

Analogue to the well-known Langevin Monte Carlo method, in this article we provide a method to sample from a target distribution \(\pi\) by simulating a solution of a stochastic differential equation. Hereby, the stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-15 David Oechsler

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric estimation problem of the drift function of stochastic differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion. First, the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the path probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Jianyu Hu , Xiangjun Wang

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

In this work, we investigate positive recurrent L\'evy diffusions driven by appropriately scaled Brownian motion and $\alpha$-stable process (with $1<\alpha<2$) in the small noise regime. Supposing that in the vanishing noise limit, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Sumith Reddy Anugu , Siva R. Athreya , Vivek S. Borkar

We derive a nonparametric estimator of the jump-activity index $\beta$ of a "locally-stable" pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingale from discrete observations of the process on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Viktor Todorov

L\'evy stable (jump-type) processes are examples of intrinsically nonlocal random motions. This property becomes a serious obstacle if one attempts to model conditions under which a particular L\'evy process may be subject to physically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-11-10 Piotr Garbaczewski , Mariusz Żaba

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We construct the "expected signature matching" estimator for differential equations driven by rough paths and we prove its consistency and asymptotic normality. We use it to estimate parameters of a diffusion and a fractional diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-16 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Christophe Ladroue

Trust is the invisible glue that holds together the fabric of societies, economic systems, and political institutions. Yet, its dynamics-especially in real-world settings remain unpredictable and difficult to control. While classical trust…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-05 Mohamadali Berahman , Madjid Eshaghi Gordji

We study the rate of convergence of some recursive procedures based on some "exact" or "approximate" Euler schemes which converge to the invariant measure of an ergodic SDE driven by a L\'{e}vy process. The main interest of this work is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fabien Panloup

Random walk is a fundamental concept with applications ranging from quantum physics to econometrics. Remarkably, one specific model of random walks appears to be ubiquitous across many fields as a tool to analyze transport phenomena in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 V. Zaburdaev , S. Denisov , J. Klafter

We study spectral-theoretic properties of non-self-adjoint operators arising in the study of one-dimensional L\'evy processes with completely monotone jumps with a one-sided barrier. With no further assumptions, we provide an integral…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Mateusz Kwaśnicki

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

We develop a scale-invariant truncated L\'evy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits L\'evy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Boris Podobnik , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Youngki Lee , H. Eugene Stanley

The escape probability is a deterministic concept that quantifies some aspects of stochastic dynamics. This issue has been investigated previously for dynamical systems driven by Gaussian Brownian motions. The present work considers escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Huijie Qiao , Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper we present stochastic foundations of fractional dynamics driven by fractional material derivative of distributed order-type. Before stating our main result we present the stochastic scenario which underlies the dynamics given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Marcin Magdziarz , Marek Teuerle

In this paper, we propose a new threshold-kernel jump-detection method for jump-diffusion processes, which iteratively applies thresholding and kernel methods in an approximately optimal way to achieve improved finite-sample performance. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 José E. Figueroa-López , Cheng Li , Jeffrey Nisen