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Microorganisms play critical roles in human health and disease. It is well known that microbes live in diverse communities in which they interact synergistically or antagonistically. Thus for estimating microbial associations with clinical…

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

The latent position cluster model is a popular model for the statistical analysis of network data. This model assumes that there is an underlying latent space in which the actors follow a finite mixture distribution. Moreover, actors which…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-02 Caitriona Ryan , Jason Wyse , Nial Friel

The problem we consider considers estimating a multivariate longitudinal panel data model whose outcomes can be a combination of discrete and continuous variables. This problem is challenging because the likelihood is usually analytically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-26 David Gunawan , Chris carter , Denzil Fiebig , Robert Kohn

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

This work is motivated by analyses of longitudinal data collected from participants in the Quebec Longitudinal Study of Child Development (QLSCD) and the Quebec Newborn Twin Study (QNTS) to identify important genetic predictors for…

Health economic evaluations based on patient-level data collected alongside clinical trials~(e.g. health related quality of life and resource use measures) are an important component of the process which informs resource allocation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-25 Andrea Gabrio , Rachael Hunter , Alexina J. Mason , Gianluca Baio

While developments in machine learning led to impressive performance gains on big data, many human subjects data are, in actuality, small and sparsely labeled. Existing methods applied to such data often do not easily generalize to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Julie Jiang , Kristina Lerman , Emilio Ferrara

The article develops marginal models for multivariate longitudinal responses. Overall, the model consists of five regression submodels, one for the mean and four for the covariance matrix, with the latter resulting by considering various…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-18 Georgios Papageorgiou

Dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is highly useful in clinical research and practice. A common strategy is the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The shared random effect model has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Wenhao Li , Zhe Yin , Liang Li

Logistic regression model is widely used in many studies to investigate the relationship between a binary response variable Y and a set of potential predictors $X_1,\ldots, X_p$ (for example: $Y = 1$ if the outcome occurred and $Y = 0$…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Mouhamed Ndoye , Aba Diop

Many random phenomena, including life-testing and environmental data, show positive values and excess zeros, which pose modeling challenges. In life testing, immediate failures result in zero lifetimes, often due to defects or poor quality,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Shivshankar Nila , Ishapathik Das , N. Balakrishna

This paper proposes solutions to three issues pertaining to the estimation of finite mixture models with an unknown number of components: the non-identifiability induced by overfitting the number of components, the mixing limitations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Zoe van Havre , Nicole White , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

We introduce the SoftBart approach from Bayesian ensemble learning to estimate the relationship between multipollutant mixtures and health on chronic exposures in epidemiology research. This approach offers several key advantages over…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-26 Yu-Chien Ning , Xin Zhou , Francine Laden , Molin Wang

Education systems around the world increasingly rely on school value-added models to hold schools to account. These models typically focus on a limited number of academic outcomes, failing to recognise the broader range of non-academic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-08 Lucy Prior , Harvey Goldstein , George Leckie

Joint models are well suited to modelling linked data from laboratories and health registers. However, there are few examples of joint models that allow for (a) multiple markers, (b) multiple survival outcomes (including terminal events,…

The co-occurrence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC), or multimorbidity, in an individual can reduce their lifespan and severely impact their quality of life. Exploring the longitudinal patterns, e.g. clusters, of disease accrual can…

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin