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Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Traffic flow forecasting is essential and challenging to intelligent city management and public safety. Recent studies have shown the potential of convolution-free Transformer approach to extract the dynamic dependencies among complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-08 Xiao Yan , Xianghua Gan , Jingjing Tang , Rui Wang

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is critical for applications such as weather prediction, and traffic analysis. In addition, the implementation of Transformer variants has improved prediction accuracy. Following these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Minhyuk Lee , HyeKyung Yoon , MyungJoo Kang

Transformers have recently gained attention in the computer vision domain due to their ability to model long-range dependencies. However, the self-attention mechanism, which is the core part of the Transformer model, usually suffers from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Reza Azad , René Arimond , Ehsan Khodapanah Aghdam , Amirhossein Kazerouni , Dorit Merhof

Accurate weather forecasting is crucial in various sectors, impacting decision-making processes and societal events. Data-driven approaches based on machine learning models have recently emerged as a promising alternative to numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Zijie Li , Anthony Zhou , Saurabh Patil , Amir Barati Farimani

Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Xingsheng Chen , Xianpei Mu , Deyu Yi , Yilin Yuan , Xingwei He , Bo Gao , Regina Zhang , Pietro Lio , Siu-Ming Yiu

Transformers have recently shown superior performances on various vision tasks. The large, sometimes even global, receptive field endows Transformer models with higher representation power over their CNN counterparts. Nevertheless, simply…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Zhuofan Xia , Xuran Pan , Shiji Song , Li Erran Li , Gao Huang

Extending the forecasting time is a critical demand for real applications, such as extreme weather early warning and long-term energy consumption planning. This paper studies the long-term forecasting problem of time series. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Haixu Wu , Jiehui Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

Transformer models rely on self-attention to capture token dependencies but face challenges in effectively integrating positional information while allowing multi-head attention (MHA) flexibility. Prior methods often model semantic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Jintian Shao , Hongyi Huang , Jiayi Wu , Beiwen Zhang , ZhiYu Wu , You Shan , MingKai Zheng

A reliable and efficient representation of multivariate time series is crucial in various downstream machine learning tasks. In multivariate time series forecasting, each variable depends on its historical values and there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 William T. Ng , K. Siu , Albert C. Cheung , Michael K. Ng

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems, supporting a wide range of real-world applications. However, it remains challenging due to two key factors:~(1) Traffic series contain heterogeneous temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Ruiwen Gu , Qitai Tan , Yahao Liu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Time series forecasting is an important problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. In this paper, we propose to tackle such forecasting problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Shiyang Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Yao Xuan , Xiyou Zhou , Wenhu Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

In the domain of multivariate forecasting, transformer models stand out as powerful apparatus, displaying exceptional capabilities in handling messy datasets from real-world contexts. However, the inherent complexity of these datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jingjing Xu , Caesar Wu , Yuan-Fang Li , Pascal Bouvry

Time series forecasting has recently achieved significant progress with multi-scale models to address the heterogeneity between long and short range patterns. Despite their state-of-the-art performance, we identify two potential areas for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Zihao Wu , Juncheng Dong , Haoming Yang , Vahid Tarokh

The versatility of self-attention mechanism earned transformers great success in almost all data modalities, with limitations on the quadratic complexity and difficulty of training. Efficient transformers, on the other hand, often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Minh Lenhat , Viet Anh Nguyen , Khoa Nguyen , Duong Duc Hieu , Dao Huu Hung , Truong Son Hy

Passenger demand forecasting helps optimize vehicle scheduling, thereby improving urban efficiency. Recently, attention-based methods have been used to adequately capture the dynamic nature of spatio-temporal data. However, existing methods…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Haichen Wang , Liu Yang , Xinyuan Zhang , Haomin Yu , Ming Li , Jilin Hu

Transformer-based models have achieved remarkable success in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) by capturing long-range dependencies. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by the quadratic computational complexity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Fanpu Cao , Shu Yang , Zhengjian Chen , Ye Liu , Laizhong Cui