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We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Stochastic gradient methods are the workhorse (algorithms) of large-scale optimization problems in machine learning, signal processing, and other computational sciences and engineering. This paper studies Markov chain gradient descent, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Tao Sun , Yuejiao Sun , Wotao Yin

In this paper, we consider stochastic optimal control of Markov Jump Linear Systems with state feedback but without observation of the jumping parameter. The proposed control law is assumed to be linear with constant gains that can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-02 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Distributionally-robust optimization is often studied for a fixed set of distributions rather than time-varying distributions that can drift significantly over time (which is, for instance, the case in finance and sociology due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Iman Shames , Farhad Farokhi

We propose prior distributions for all parts of the specification of a Markov mesh model. In the formulation we define priors for the sequential neighborhood, for the parametric form of the conditional distributions and for the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-27 Håkon Tjelmeland , Xin Luo

This paper discusses a general framework for designing robust state estimators for a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems. We consider systems that may be impacted by impulsive (sparse but otherwise arbitrary) measurement noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Vincent Andrieu , Qinghua Zhang

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

Deregulation of energy markets, penetration of renewables, advanced metering capabilities, and the urge for situational awareness, all call for system-wide power system state estimation (PSSE). Implementing a centralized estimator though is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-03 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

In this paper, an uncertain norm-bounded mathematical model for a remotely controlled skid-slip tracked mobile robot. The linear state space description aims to describe the nonlinear error dynamics of the robot during the trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Alessia Ferraro , Vito Antonio Nardi , Valerio Scordamaglia

In this paper, we introduce a Gaussian process based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework. The scheme is based on offline collected data and offline hyperparameter optimization. In particular, compared to standard MHE schemes, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-16 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

Reversibility is a key concept in Markov models and Master-equation models of molecular kinetics. The analysis and interpretation of the transition matrix encoding the kinetic properties of the model relies heavily on the reversibility…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-23 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Fabian Paul , Frank Noé

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper, we address the efficient implementation of moving horizon state estimation of constrained discrete-time linear systems. We propose a novel iteration scheme which employs a proximity-based formulation of the underlying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Meriem Gharbi , Bahman Gharesifard , Christian Ebenbauer

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

We consider distributed estimation of a Gaussian source in a heterogenous bandwidth constrained sensor network, where the source is corrupted by independent multiplicative and additive observation noises, with incomplete statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Alireza Sani , Azadeh Vosoughi
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