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Related papers: Spatial disaggregation of time series

200 papers

This paper studies the evolution of economic activities using a continuous time-space aggregation-diffusion model, which encompasses competing effects of agglomeration and congestion. To bring the model to the real data, a novel…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Davide Fiaschi , Angela Parenti , Cristiano Ricci

This study proposes a novel approach based on the Ising model for analyzing socio-economic emerging patterns between municipalities by investigating the observed configuration of a network of selected territorial units which are classified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Pierpaolo Massoli

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

This work develops a block aggregation approach to spatial estimation and prediction when the response is observed at a coarse spatial scale, for example as counts of events in administrative areas, or blocks, while covariates are available…

In this paper, we propose a novel Spatial Balance Attention block for spatiotemporal forecasting. To strike a balance between obeying spatial proximity and capturing global correlation, we partition the spatial graph into a set of subgraphs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Hongyi Chen , Xiucheng Li , Xinyang Chen , Jing Li , Kehai Chen , Liqiang Nie

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

In this paper, we study a new type of spatial sparse recovery problem, that is to infer the fine-grained spatial distribution of certain density data in a region only based on the aggregate observations recorded for each of its subregions.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Bang Liu , Borislav Mavrin , Linglong Kong , Di Niu

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Temporal sequences of satellite images constitute a highly valuable and abundant resource for analyzing regions of interest. However, the automatic acquisition of knowledge on a large scale is a challenging task due to different factors…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Carlos Echegoyen , Aritz Pérez , Guzmán Santafé , Unai Pérez-Goya , María Dolores Ugarte

Spatial scan statistics are well-known methods for cluster detection and are widely used in epidemiology and medical studies for detecting and evaluating the statistical significance of disease hotspots. For the sake of simplicity, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Lionel Cucala , Michael Genin

Disaggregation regression has become an important tool in spatial disease mapping for making fine-scale predictions of disease risk from aggregated response data. By including high resolution covariate information and modelling the data…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Rohan Arambepola , Tim C D Lucas , Anita K Nandi , Peter W Gething , Ewan Cameron

The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a well-known statistical approach to explore spatial non-stationarity of the regression relationship in spatial data analysis. In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian recourse of GWR. Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Yishu Xue , Guanyu Hu

Estimating environmental exposures from multi-source data is central to public health research and policy. Integrating data from satellite products and ground monitors are increasingly used to produce exposure surfaces. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Yovna Junglee , Vianey Leos Barajas , Meredith Franklin

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

There exists a correlation between geospatial activity temporal patterns and type of land use. A novel self-supervised approach is proposed to stratify landscape based on mobility activity time series. First, the time series signal is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Yi Cao , Swetava Ganguli , Vipul Pandey

Producing reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators at fine areal scales is crucial for examining heterogeneity and supporting localized health policy. However, many surveys release outcomes only at coarser administrative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yunhan Wu , Finn Lindgren , Heidi A. Hanson

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Spatial-temporal graph representations play a crucial role in urban sensing applications, including traffic analysis, human mobility behavior modeling, and citywide crime prediction. However, a key challenge lies in the noisy and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Qianru Zhang , Xinyi Gao , Haixin Wang , Dong Huang , Siu-Ming Yiu , Hongzhi Yin

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Mat\'ern fields formulated as solutions to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Finn Lindgren , Haakon Bakka , David Bolin , Elias Krainski , Håvard Rue