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Related papers: Reputational Conservatism in Expert Advice

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The Clopper-Pearson confidence interval has ever been documented as an exact approach in some statistics literature. More recently, such approach of interval estimation has been introduced to probabilistic control theory and has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Ian Dewancker , Frank Liu

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

This paper studies a dynamic model of information acquisition, in which information might be secretly manipulated. A principal must choose between a safe action with known payoff and a risky action with uncertain payoff, favoring the safe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-14 Raphael Boleslavsky

Utilizing established risk factors and prognostic models can often improve the construction of a newer risk model that uses novel biomarkers in a smaller, internal study. However, directly borrowing information from an established…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Nicholas C. Henderson

Indirect reciprocity is a mechanism for cooperation in social dilemma situations, in which an individual is motivated to help another to acquire a good reputation and receive help from others afterwards. Ingroup favoritism is another aspect…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-20 Mitsuhiro Nakamura , Naoki Masuda

In this paper, we study learning in probabilistic domains where the learner may receive incorrect labels but can improve the reliability of labels by repeatedly sampling them. In such a setting, one faces the problem of whether the fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Timo Bertram , Johannes Fürnkranz , Martin Müller

We study a class of private learning problems in which the data is a join of private and public features. This is often the case in private personalization tasks such as recommendation or ad prediction, in which features related to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Walid Krichene , Nicolas Mayoraz , Steffen Rendle , Shuang Song , Abhradeep Thakurta , Li Zhang

Bayesian optimisation for real-world problems is often performed interactively with human experts, and integrating their domain knowledge is key to accelerate the optimisation process. We consider a setup where experts provide advice on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Wenjie Xu , Masaki Adachi , Colin N. Jones , Michael A. Osborne

Popularity bias is a long-standing challenge in recommender systems. Such a bias exerts detrimental impact on both users and item providers, and many efforts have been dedicated to studying and solving such a bias. However, most existing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Ziwei Zhu , Yun He , Xing Zhao , James Caverlee

Inverse classification, the process of making meaningful perturbations to a test point such that it is more likely to have a desired classification, has previously been addressed using data from a single static point in time. Such an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Michael T. Lash , W. Nick Street

Every year, over one million EU students choose a secondary school track based on teacher recommendations, yet little evidence shows this yields optimal assignments. Using Dutch data, we examine whether access to standardized test scores…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-17 Andrea Ichino , Fabrizia Mealli , Javier Viviens

Does electoral replacement ensure that officeholders eventually act in voters' interests? We study a reputational model of accountability. Voters observe incumbents' performance and decide whether to replace them. Politicians may be "good"…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Navin Kartik , Elliot Lipnowski , Harry Pei

We study how a principal should optimally choose between implementing a new policy and maintaining the status quo when information relevant for the decision is privately held by agents. Agents are strategic in revealing their information;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-02-21 Albin Erlanson , Andreas Kleiner

Many high-stakes AI deployments proceed only if every stakeholder deems the system acceptable relative to their own minimum standard. With randomization over a finite menu of options, this becomes a feasibility question: does there exist a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Davin Choo , Paul W. Goldberg , Nicholas Teh

We introduce a simple but effective method for managing risk in model-based reinforcement learning with trajectory sampling that involves probabilistic safety constraints and balancing of optimism in the face of epistemic uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Marin Vlastelica , Sebastian Blaes , Cristina Pineri , Georg Martius

Most if not all on-line item-to-item recommendation systems rely on estimation of a distance like measure (rank) of similarity between items. For on-line recommendation systems, time sensitivity of this similarity measure is extremely…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Alexander Kushkuley , Joshua Correa

Safe exploration is a key requirement for reinforcement learning (RL) agents to learn and adapt online, beyond controlled (e.g. simulated) environments. In this work, we tackle this challenge by utilizing suboptimal yet conservative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Manuel Wendl , Yarden As , Manish Prajapat , Anton Pollak , Stelian Coros , Andreas Krause

The offline reinforcement learning (RL) problem aims to learn an optimal policy from historical data collected by one or more behavioural policies (experts) by interacting with an environment. However, the individual experts may be…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Navodita Sharma , Vishnu Vinod , Abhradeep Thakurta , Alekh Agarwal , Borja Balle , Christoph Dann , Aravindan Raghuveer

In the framework of prediction with expert advice, we consider a recently introduced kind of regret bounds: the bounds that depend on the effective instead of nominal number of experts. In contrast to the Normal- Hedge bound, which mainly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk