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Time series forecasting is important in finance domain. Financial time series (TS) patterns are influenced by both short-term public opinions and medium-/long-term policy and market trends. Hence, processing multi-period inputs becomes…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Xu Zhang , Zhengang Huang , Yunzhi Wu , Xun Lu , Erpeng Qi , Yunkai Chen , Zhongya Xue , Qitong Wang , Peng Wang , Wei Wang

Transformer-based and MLP-based methods have emerged as leading approaches in time series forecasting (TSF). While Transformer-based methods excel in capturing long-range dependencies, they suffer from high computational complexities and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai

Accurate traffic forecasting is a fundamental problem in intelligent transportation systems and learning long-range traffic representations with key information through spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) is a basic assumption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Qinyao Luo , Silu He , Xing Han , Yuhan Wang , Haifeng Li

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

Spatial-temporal network traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatial relationships and dynamic temporal patterns present in each node. Traditional regression methods are not directly applicable to such graph data.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jinming Xing , Guoheng Sun , Hui Sun , Linchao Pan , Shakir Mahmood , Xuanhao Luo , Muhammad Shahzad

The influence function serves as an efficient post-hoc interpretability tool that quantifies the impact of training data modifications on model parameters, enabling enhanced model performance, improved generalization, and interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Muyao Wang , Zeke Xie , Bo Chen , Hongwei Liu , James Kwok

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Riccardo Grazzi , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Tim Januschowski , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau

Although transformer-based methods have achieved great success in multi-scale temporal pattern interaction modeling, two key challenges limit their further development: (1) Individual time points contain less semantic information, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen , Binqing wu , Dongliang Cui

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Domain generalization on graphs aims to develop models with robust generalization capabilities, ensuring effective performance on the testing set despite disparities between testing and training distributions. However, existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Qin Tian , Chen Zhao , Minglai Shao , Wenjun Wang , Yujie Lin , Dong Li

Multivariate time series (MTS) anomaly detection identifies abnormal patterns where each timestamp contains multiple variables. Existing MTS anomaly detection methods fall into three categories: reconstruction-based, prediction-based, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Yuanyuan Yao , Yuhan Shi , Lu Chen , Ziquan Fang , Yunjun Gao , Leong Hou U , Yushuai Li , Tianyi Li

Within the field of complicated multivariate time series forecasting (TSF), popular techniques frequently rely on intricate deep learning architectures, ranging from transformer-based designs to recurrent neural networks. However, recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Aiyinsi Zuo , Haixi Zhang , Zirui Li , Ce Zheng

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been broadly studied on dynamic graphs for their representation learning, majority of which focus on graphs with homogeneous structures in the spatial domain. However, many real-world graphs - i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Yujie Fan , Mingxuan Ju , Chuxu Zhang , Liang Zhao , Yanfang Ye

Existing works on general time series forecasting build foundation models with heavy model parameters through large-scale multi-source pre-training. These models achieve superior generalization ability across various datasets at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Reinforcement learning is well known for its ability to model sequential tasks and learn latent data patterns adaptively. Deep learning models have been widely explored and adopted in regression and classification tasks. However, deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Thanveer Shaik , Xiaohui Tao , Haoran Xie , Lin Li , Jianming Yong , Yuefeng Li

Memory-based Temporal Graph Neural Networks (MTGNNs) are a class of temporal graph neural networks that utilize a node memory module to capture and retain long-term temporal dependencies, leading to superior performance compared to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Guangming Sheng , Junwei Su , Chao Huang , Chuan Wu

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is characterized by the lack of synchronized observations across its different channels. In this paper, we point out that this channel-wise asynchrony can lead to poor channel-wise modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Shuhan Zhong , Weipeng Zhuo , Sizhe Song , Guanyao Li , Zhongyi Yu , S. -H. Gary Chan

Time series data plays a crucial role across various domains, making it valuable for decision-making and predictive modeling. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have shown promise in this regard, yet their performance hinges on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Junzhi Wen , Rafal A. Angryk

In multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting, many deep learning based methods have been proposed for modeling dependencies at multiple spatial (inter-variate) or temporal (intra-variate) scales. However, existing methods may fail to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Binqing Wu , Jianlong Huang , Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen