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Existing trajectory prediction methods exhibit significant performance degradation under distribution shifts during test time. Although test-time training techniques have been explored to enable adaptation, current approaches rely on an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Yuning Wang , Pu Zhang , Yuan He , Ke Wang , Jianru Xue

Time series forecasting has long been dominated by advances in model architecture, with recent progress driven by deep learning and hybrid statistical techniques. However, as forecasting models approach diminishing returns in accuracy, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Qi Li , Yinglong Wang , Jing Chen , Hu Zhang , Xiaoxiao Cui , Qizheng Wang , Shuo Li

Data streams in real-world industrial scenarios often contain transitional operating conditions that are uncovered during offline training, leading to significant distribution shifts. To bridge the gap between static offline models and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Hongshuo Zhao , Zeyi Liu , Xiao He

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying…

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

Recently, deep neural networks have gained increasing popularity in the field of time series forecasting. A primary reason for their success is their ability to effectively capture complex temporal dynamics across multiple related time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Xiaoyong Jin , Youngsuk Park , Danielle C. Maddix , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang

Test-time adaptation (TTA) is a technique used to reduce distribution gaps between the training and testing sets by leveraging unlabeled test data during inference. In this work, we expand TTA to a more practical scenario, where the test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Chenyan Wu , Yimu Pan , Yandong Li , James Z. Wang

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Jungbin Jun , Ilsang Ohn

Real-world time series often exhibit a non-stationary nature, degrading the performance of pre-trained forecasting models. Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses this by adjusting models during inference, but existing methods typically update…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Heitor R. Medeiros , Hossein Sharifi-Noghabi , Gabriel L. Oliveira , Saghar Irandoust

A self-adaptive system can modify its own structure and behavior at runtime based on its perception of the environment, of itself and of its requirements. To develop a self-adaptive system, software developers codify knowledge about the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andreas Metzger , Clément Quinton , Zoltán Ádám Mann , Luciano Baresi , Klaus Pohl

Machine learning algorithms typically assume that the training and test samples come from the same distributions, i.e., in-distribution. However, in open-world scenarios, streaming big data can be Out-Of-Distribution (OOD), rendering these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Anique Tahir , Lu Cheng , Ruocheng Guo , Huan Liu

It is a well-known fact that the performance of deep learning models deteriorates when they encounter a distribution shift at test time. Test-time adaptation (TTA) algorithms have been proposed to adapt the model online while inferring test…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Jayeon Yoo , Dongkwan Lee , Inseop Chung , Donghyun Kim , Nojun Kwak

We consider the problem of online fine tuning the parameters of a language model at test time, also known as dynamic evaluation. While it is generally known that this approach improves the overall predictive performance, especially when…

Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTA) is a challenging task that aims to adapt a source pre-trained model to continually changing target domains. In the CTA setting, a model does not know when the target domain changes, thus facing a drastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Inseop Chung , Kyomin Hwang , Jayeon Yoo , Nojun Kwak

Data distribution shift is a common problem in machine learning-powered smart city applications where the test data differs from the training data. Augmenting smart city applications with online machine learning models can handle this issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Shawqi Al-Maliki , Faissal El Bouanani , Mohamed Abdallah , Junaid Qadir , Ala Al-Fuqaha

This paper addresses source component shift adaptation, aiming to update predictions adapting to source component shifts for incoming data streams based on past training data. Existing online learning methods often fail to utilize recurring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Ryuta Matsuno

In the research field of big data, one of important issues is how to recover the sequentially changing sets of true features when the data sets arrive sequentially. The paper presents a general framework for online updating variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Xiaoyu Ma , Lu Lin , Yujie Gai

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Time series forecasting always faces the challenge of concept drift, where data distributions evolve over time, leading to a decline in forecast model performance. Existing solutions are based on online learning, which continually organize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

This research addresses the problem of adaptive modeling in time-series data streams with clear input-output relationships. This problem is challenging because rapid system changes (regime shifts) caused by environmental factors or input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai
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