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With the rapid advances of deep learning, many computational methods have been developed to analyze nonlinear and complex right censored data via deep learning approaches. However, the majority of the methods focus on predicting survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Many recent papers have studied the development of superforecaster-level event forecasting LLMs. While methodological problems with early studies cast doubt on the use of LLMs for event forecasting, recent studies with improved evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Sang-Woo Lee , Sohee Yang , Donghyun Kwak , Noah Y. Siegel

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

Learning representations of data, and in particular learning features for a subsequent prediction task, has been a fruitful area of research delivering impressive empirical results in recent years. However, relatively little is understood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Daniel McNamara , Cheng Soon Ong , Robert C. Williamson

Meta-learning algorithms use past experience to learn to quickly solve new tasks. In the context of reinforcement learning, meta-learning algorithms acquire reinforcement learning procedures to solve new problems more efficiently by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Abhishek Gupta , Benjamin Eysenbach , Chelsea Finn , Sergey Levine

Optimal designs are usually model-dependent and likely to be sub-optimal if the postulated model is not correctly specified. In practice, it is common that a researcher has a list of candidate models at hand and a design has to be found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Mingyao Ai , Holger Dette , Zhengfu Liu , Jun Yu

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

The explosion of Open Educational Resources (OERs) in the recent years creates the demand for scalable, automatic approaches to process and evaluate OERs, with the end goal of identifying and recommending the most suitable educational…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Sahan Bulathwela , María Pérez-Ortiz , Aldo Lipani , Emine Yilmaz , John Shawe-Taylor

The ability to predict future events or patterns based on previous experience is crucial for many applications such as traffic control, weather forecasting, or supply chain management. While modern supervised Machine Learning approaches…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Florian Feiler , Emre Neftci , Younes Bouhadjar

Although recent model-free reinforcement learning algorithms have been shown to be capable of mastering complicated decision-making tasks, the sample complexity of these methods has remained a hurdle to utilizing them in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Saeed Moazami , Peggy Doerschuk

Learning algorithms are often used in conjunction with expert decision makers in practical scenarios, however this fact is largely ignored when designing these algorithms. In this paper we explore how to learn predictors that can either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Hussein Mozannar , David Sontag

Quantifying and predicting rare and extreme events persists as a crucial yet challenging task in understanding complex dynamical systems. Many practical challenges arise from the infrequency and severity of these events, including the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Kai Chang , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Understanding natural language involves recognizing how multiple event mentions structurally and temporally interact with each other. In this process, one can induce event complexes that organize multi-granular events with temporal order…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Haoyu Wang , Muhao Chen , Hongming Zhang , Dan Roth

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

Time-to-event modelling, known as survival analysis, differs from standard regression as it addresses censoring in patients who do not experience the event of interest. Despite competitive performances in tackling this problem, machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Vincent Jeanselme , Chang Ho Yoon , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Time-to-event analysis, also known as survival analysis, aims to predict the time of occurrence of an event, given a set of features. One of the major challenges in this area is dealing with censored data, which can make learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Hyunjun Lee , Junhyun Lee , Taehwa Choi , Jaewoo Kang , Sangbum Choi

Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Jimmy Hickey , Ricardo Henao , Daniel Wojdyla , Michael Pencina , Matthew M. Engelhard

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-17 Anthony Devaux , Robin Genuer , Karine Pérès , Cécile Proust-Lima