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We compare two models of corporate default by calculating the Jeffreys-Kullback-Leibler divergence between their predicted default probabilities when asset correlations are either high or low. Our main results show that the divergence…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 Sylvia Gottschalk

We study the problem of asset liquidation in financial systems. During financial crises, asset liquidation is often inevitable but can lead to substantial losses if a significant amount of illiquid assets are sold simultaneously at…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Dohyun Ahn , Hongyi Jiang

We study financial networks with debt contracts and credit default swaps between specific pairs of banks. Given such a financial system, we want to decide which of the banks are in default, and how much of their liabilities can these…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

Discount is the difference between the face value of a bond and its present value. I propose an arbitrage-free dynamic framework for discount models, which provides an alternative to the Heath--Jarrow--Morton framework for forward rates. I…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-28 Damir Filipovic

In this article, we present a discrete time modeling framework, in which the shape and dynamics of a Limit Order Book (LOB) arise endogenously from an equilibrium between multiple market participants (agents). We use the proposed modeling…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-10 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

Automation raises productivity and reduces paid human labor, but it also reallocates income and ownership claims. This paper studies that tradeoff in a static benchmark and in a stationary heterogeneous-agent general equilibrium. Firms…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-07 Erhan Bayraktar

We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes, this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-15 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

This paper analyses the impact of credit expansions arising from decreases in collateral requirements or more expansionary monetary policies on long-term productivity in a model with endogenous growth. Credit expansions associated with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

We study the incentives of banks in a financial network, where the network consists of debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs) between banks. One of the most important questions in such a system is the problem of deciding which of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

The stability of the financial system is associated with systemic risk factors such as the concurrent default of numerous small obligors. Hence it is of utmost importance to study the mutual dependence of losses for different creditors in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-30 Andreas Mühlbacher , Thomas Guhr

Due to the variety of corporate risks in turmoil markets and the consequent financial distress especially in COVID-19 time, this paper investigates corporate resilience and compares different types of resilience that can be potential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-26 Elham Daadmehr

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

We consider a financial market with zero-coupon bonds that are exposed to credit and liquidity risk. We revisit the famous Jarrow & Turnbull setting in order to account for these two intricately intertwined risk types. We utilise the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Thomas Krabichler , Josef Teichmann

Using a comprehensive dataset collected by the Federal Reserve, I find that over one-third of corporate loans issued by US banks are fully guaranteed by legal entities separate from borrowing firms. Using an empirical strategy that accounts…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Mehdi Beyhaghi

There is empirical evidence that recovery rates tend to go down just when the number of defaults goes up in economic downturns. This has to be taken into account in estimation of the capital against credit risk required by Basel II to cover…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-03 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Xiaolin Luo

In this article, we consider the problem of a bank's loan portfolio in the context of liquidity risk, while allowing for the limited liability protection enjoyed by the bank. Accordingly, we construct a novel loan portfolio model with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-15 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Banks must optimize risky investments, dividend payouts, and capital structure under tight Basel III solvency and liquidity constraints, while costly equity issuance serves as a distress-recovery tool. We formulate this as a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Erhan Bayraktar , Etienne Chevalier , Vathana Ly Vath , Yuqiong Wang

Many commonly used liquidity measures are based on snapshots of the state of the limit order book (LOB) and can thus only provide information about instantaneous liquidity, and not regarding the local liquidity regime. However, trading in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-23 Efstathios Panayi , Gareth Peters

In a dynamic economy, we characterize the fiscal policy of the government when it levies distortionary taxes and issues defaultable bonds to finance its stochastic expenditure. Default may occur in equilibrium as it prevents the government…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Demian Pouzo , Ignacio Presno

There are many studies on development of models for analyzing some derivatives such as credit default swaps .

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-20 Zahra Sokoot , Navideh Modarresi , Farzaneh Niknejad