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This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

We find that factors explaining bank loan recovery rates vary depending on the state of the economic cycle. Our modeling approach incorporates a two-state Markov switching mechanism as a proxy for the latent credit cycle, helping to explain…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-20 Hong Wang , Catherine S. Forbes , Jean-Pierre Fenech , John Vaz

We propose a new model of the liquidity driven banking system focusing on overnight interbank loans. This significant branch of the interbank market is commonly neglected in the banking system modeling and systemic risk analysis. We…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-17 Paweł Smaga , Mateusz Wiliński , Piotr Ochnicki , Piotr Arendarski , Tomasz Gubiec

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

The recent "correlation breakdown" in the modeling of credit default swaps, in which model correlations had to exceed 100% in order to reproduce market prices of supersenior tranches, is analyzed and argued to be a fundamental market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-01 Rodanthy Tzani , Alexios P. Polychronakos

The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-30 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

This paper investigates whether a financial system can be made more stable if financial institutions share risk by exchanging contingent convertible (CoCo) debt obligations. The question is framed in a financial network model of debt and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-27 Zachary Feinstein , T. R. Hurd

We present a model describing the competition between information transmission and decision making in financial markets. The solution of this simple model is recalled, and possible variations discussed. It is shown numerically that despite…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-11 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

We present a novel approach for the bank's decision problem, incorporating Limited Liability in the objective function. Accordingly, we consider continuous time models, with and without Limited Liability. We compare the solutions of these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

This paper presents a new model for pricing financial derivatives subject to collateralization. It allows for collateral arrangements adhering to bankruptcy laws. As such, the model can back out the market price of a collateralized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Tim Xiao

Changes in collateralization have been implicated in significant default (or near-default) events during the financial crisis, most notably with AIG. We have developed a framework for quantifying this effect based on moving between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-20 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 Damian Eduardo Taranto , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

As financial institutions increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate lending decisions, concerns about algorithmic fairness have risen. This paper explores the tradeoff between enforcing fairness constraints (such as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Aayam Bansal

I develop and estimate a dynamic equilibrium model of risky entrepreneurs' borrowing and savings decisions incorporating both formal and local-informal credit markets. Households have access to an exogenous formal credit market and to an…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-27 Fan Wang

I study the optimal regulation of a financial sector where individual banks face self-enforcing constraints countering their default incentives. The constrained-efficient social planner can improve over the unregulated equilibrium in two…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Aliaksandr Zaretski

This paper builds a finite-horizon model to study the role of physical collateral in a model of strategic defaults, when the borrower can develop reputation for honesty. Asset ownership increases attractiveness of the reputational channel:…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-12 Georgy Lukyanov

This paper develops a two-dimensional structural framework for valuing credit default swaps and corporate bonds in the presence of default contagion. Modelling the values of related firms as correlated geometric Brownian motions with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Helen Haworth , Christoph Reisinger , William Shaw
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