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We present a model for studying communities of epistemically interacting agents who update their belief states by averaging (in a specified way) the belief states of other agents in the community. The agents in our model have a rich belief…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-15 Sylvia Wenmackers , Danny E. P. Vanpoucke , Igor Douven

This paper establishes a formal framework, grounded in mathematical logic and order theory, to analyze the inherent limitations of radical transparency. We demonstrate that self-referential disclosure policies inevitably encounter…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Faruk Alpay , Hamdi Alakkad

In many real world problems, optimization decisions have to be made with limited information. The decision maker may have no a priori or posteriori data about the often nonconvex objective function except from on a limited number of points…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Tansu Alpcan

We introduce an enumeration-free method based on mathematical programming to precisely characterize various properties such as fairness or sparsity within the set of "good models", known as Rashomon set. This approach is generically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Lucas Langlade , Julien Ferry , Gabriel Laberge , Thibaut Vidal

In many societal resource allocation domains, machine learning methods are increasingly used to either score or rank agents in order to decide which ones should receive either resources (e.g., homeless services) or scrutiny (e.g., child…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Andrew Estornell , Sanmay Das , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

Data have power. As such, most discussions of data presume that records should mirror some idealized ground truth. Deviations are viewed as failure. Drawing on two ethnographic studies of state data-making in a Chinese street-level…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Chuncheng Liu , danah boyd

The extensive deployment of probabilistic algorithms has radically changed our perspective on several well-established computational notions. Correctness is probably the most basic one. While a typical probabilistic program cannot be said…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Francesco A. Genco , Giuseppe Primiero

Transfer reinforcement learning aims to derive a near-optimal policy for a target environment with limited data by leveraging abundant data from related source domains. However, it faces two key challenges: the lack of performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chi Zhang , Ziying Jia , George K. Atia , Sihong He , Yue Wang

We propose and analyze a new data-driven trade-off (TRO) approach for modeling uncertainty that serves as a middle ground between the optimistic approach, which adopts a distributional belief, and the pessimistic distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Man Yiu Tsang , Karmel S. Shehadeh

Fisher's fiducial argument is widely viewed as a failed version of Neyman's theory of confidence limits. But Fisher's goal -- Bayesian-like probabilistic uncertainty quantification without priors -- was more ambitious than Neyman's, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Ryan Martin

We propose a method for an agent to revise its incomplete probabilistic beliefs when a new piece of propositional information is observed. In this work, an agent's beliefs are represented by a set of probabilistic formulae -- a belief base.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Gavin Rens , Thomas Meyer , Giovanni Casini

In this paper we consider the use of probabilistic or random models within a classical trust-region framework for optimization of deterministic smooth general nonlinear functions. Our method and setting differs from many stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Afonso S. Bandeira , Katya Scheinberg , Luis Nunes Vicente

Recently the problem of Unambiguous State Discrimination (USD) of mixed quantum states has attracted much attention. So far, bounds on the optimum success probability have been derived [1]. For two mixed states they are given in terms of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-06-04 Philippe Raynal , Norbert Lütkenhaus

Civic Crowdfunding (CC) uses the ``power of the crowd'' to garner contributions towards public projects. As these projects are non-excludable, agents may prefer to ``free-ride,'' resulting in the project not being funded. For single project…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Sankarshan Damle , Manisha Padala , Sujit Gujar

In many large scale distributed systems and on the web, agents need to interact with other unknown agents to carry out some tasks or transactions. The ability to reason about and assess the potential risks in carrying out such transactions…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-02 Xin Liu , Gilles Tredan , Anwitaman Datta

Distinguishing resource states from resource-free states is a fundamental task in quantum information. We have approached the state detection problem through a hypothesis testing framework, with the alternative hypothesis set comprising…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Masahito Hayashi

This paper studies the provision of incentives for information acquisition. Information is costly for an agent to acquire and unobservable to a principal. We show that any Pareto optimal contract has a decomposition into a fraction of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-09 Aubrey Clark , Giovanni Reggiani

In this paper, we propose and analyze a trust-region model-based algorithm for solving unconstrained stochastic optimization problems. Our framework utilizes random models of an objective function $f(x)$, obtained from stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Ruobing Chen , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

Designing tax policies that are effective in curbing tax evasion and maximize state revenues requires a rigorous understanding of taxpayer behavior. This work explores the problem of determining the strategy a self-interested, risk-averse…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Nikolaos D. Goumagias , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis , Yannis M. Assael