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The shape of an epidemic wave in simple epidemic models applies to a homogeneous distribution of infected people in the population. In large inhomogeneous systems, at country-scale for instance, the wave shape is similar except for the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 L. Vanel

We study the contact process on a random bipartite connection hypergraph generated from two Poisson point processes, with mark-dependent connection thresholds. For asymmetric infection rates and asymmetric power law tail decays of the two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 John Fernley , Christian Hirsch , Daniel Valesin

In this paper we consider a simple virus infection spread model on a finite population of $n$ agents connected by some neighborhood structure. Given a graph $G$ on $n$ vertices, we begin with some fixed number of initial infected vertices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Farkhondeh Sajadi

The interaction among spreading processes on a complex network is a nontrivial phenomenon of great importance. It has recently been realized that cooperative effects among infective diseases can give rise to qualitative changes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Byungjoon Min , Claudio Castellano

This paper is focused on SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic dynamics (also known as the contact process) on populations modelled by homogeneous Poisson point processes of the Euclidean plane, where the infection rate of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-19 François Baccelli , Nithin Ramesan

Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We study spreading on networks where the contact dynamics between the nodes is governed by a random process and where the inter-contact time distribution may differ from the exponential. We consider a process of imperfect spreading, where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-07 Martin Gueuning , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Renaud Lambiotte

We consider a Spatial Markov Chain model for the spread of viruses. The model is based on the principle to represent a graph connecting nodes, which represent humans. The vertices between the nodes represent relations between humans. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Fred Vermolen

We study epidemic arrival times in meta-population disease models through the lens of front propagation into unstable states. We demonstrate that several features of invasion fronts in the PDE context are also relevant to the network case.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Ashley Armbruster , Matt Holzer , Noah Roselli , Lena Underwood

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

We study the contact process on a class of evolving scale-free networks, where each node updates its connections at independent random times. We give a rigorous mathematical proof that there is a transition between a phase where for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emmanuel Jacob , Peter Mörters

The susceptible-exposed-infectious-susceptible (SEIS) model is well-known in mathematical epidemiology as a model of infection in which there is a latent period between the moment of infection and the onset of infectiousness. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Eric Foxall

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

Risk-driven behavior provides a feedback mechanism through which individuals both shape and are collectively affected by an epidemic. We introduce a general and flexible compartmental model to study the effect of heterogeneity in the…

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

We study degree-penalized contact processes on Galton-Watson trees (GW) and the configuration model. The model we consider is a modification of the usual contact process on a graph. In particular, each vertex can be either infected or…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Zsolt Bartha , Júlia Komjáthy , Daniel Valesin

We study an epidemic model for a constant population by taking into account four compartments of the individuals characterizing their states of health. Each individual is in one of the compartments susceptible (S); incubated - infected yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-20 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

We study the phase transition between survival and extinction in an epidemic process with long-range interactions and immunization. This model can be viewed as the well-known general epidemic process (GEP) in which nearest-neighbor…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-22 Florian Linder , Johannes Tran-Gia , Silvio R. Dahmen , Haye Hinrichsen

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly
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