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In this paper we propose a novel method to forecast the result of elections using only official results of previous ones. It is based on the voter model with stubborn nodes and uses theoretical results developed in a previous work of ours.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Antoine Vendeville , Benjamin Guedj , Shi Zhou

Interpretable classification models are built with the purpose of providing a comprehensible description of the decision logic to an external oversight agent. When considered in isolation, a decision tree, a set of classification rules, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Riccardo Guidotti , Salvatore Ruggieri

We investigate the impact of noise and topology on opinion diversity in social networks. We do so by extending well-established models of opinion dynamics to a stochastic setting where agents are subject both to assimilative forces by their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Samuel Stern , Giacomo Livan

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

The dichotomy between noise-stable and (completely) noise-sensitive stochastic models is of recent interest in probability theory. Of particular interest is the study of lattice models coming from statistical physics. The Fourier transform…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Gil Kalai

We study a binary dynamical process that is a representation of the voter model with opinion makers. The process models an election with two candidates but can also describe the frequencies of a biallelic gene in a population or atoms with…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-11-04 Carolina A. Moreira , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

We investigate how the graph topology influences the robustness to noise in undirected linear consensus networks. We measure the structural robustness by using the smallest possible value of steady state population variance of states under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-18 Yasin Yazicioglu , Waseem Abbas , Mudassir Shabbir

Consistency training regularizes a model by enforcing predictions of original and perturbed inputs to be similar. Previous studies have proposed various augmentation methods for the perturbation but are limited in that they are agnostic to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Jungsoo Park , Gyuwan Kim , Jaewoo Kang

We consider a single-server cyclic polling system with three queues where the server follows an adaptive rule: if it finds one of queues empty in a given cycle, it decides not to visit that queue in the next cycle. In the case of limited…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Natalia Chernova , Sergey Foss , Bara Kim

We consider the dynamic linear regression problem, where the predictor vector may vary with time. This problem can be modeled as a linear dynamical system, with non-constant observation operator, where the parameters that need to be learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Mark Kozdoba , Edward Moroshko , Shie Mannor , Koby Crammer

Opinion dynamics is crucial for unraveling the complexities of human interaction in the information age. How to speed up consensus without disturbing the fate of the system is key for opinion dynamics. We propose a voter model on adaptive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-12 Xunlong Wang , Bin Wu

The paper has established and verified the theory prevailing widely among image and pattern recognition specialists that the bottom-up indirect regional matching process is the more stable and the more robust than the global matching…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Liang Chen , Naoyuki Tokuda

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system, modelling how global consensus is formed by local imitation. We analyse the time to consensus for a particular family of voter models when the underlying structure is a scale-free…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-11 John Fernley

We present a model of roundoff error analysis that combines simplicity with predictive power. Though not considering all sources of roundoff within an algorithm, the model is related to a recursive roundoff error analysis and therefore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Folkmar Bornemann

In this note, the distributed consensus corrupted by relative-state-dependent measurement noises is considered. Each agent can measure or receive its neighbors' state information with random noises, whose intensity is a vector function of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-15 Tao Li , Fuke Wu , Ji-Feng Zhang

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

We consider stochastic dynamics of a particle on a plane in presence of two noises and a confining parabolic potential - an analog of the experimentally-relevant Brownian Gyrator (BG) model. In contrast to the standard BG model, we suppose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-16 Timothée Herbeau , Leonid Pastur , Pascal Viot , Gleb Oshanin

The present article is devoted to well-posedness by noise for the continuity equation. Namely, we consider the continuity equation with non-linear and partially degenerate stochastic perturbations in divergence form. We prove the existence…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Benjamin Gess , Scott Smith
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