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This paper studies the principal components (PC) estimator for high dimensional approximate factor models with weak factors in that the factor loading ($\boldsymbol{\Lambda}^0$) scales sublinearly in the number $N$ of cross-section units,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-12 Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

High-dimensional measurements are often correlated which motivates their approximation by factor models. This holds also true when features are engineered via low-dimensional interactions or kernel tricks. This often results in over…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Xiaonan Zhu , Bingyan Wang , Jianqing Fan

It is well-known that the approximate factor models have the rotation indeterminacy. It has been considered that the principal component (PC) estimators estimate some rotations of the true factors and factor loadings, but the rotation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Peiyun Jiang , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Takashi Yamagata

We study the bias of classical quantile regression and instrumental variable quantile regression estimators. While being asymptotically first-order unbiased, these estimators can have non-negligible second-order biases. We derive a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Grigory Franguridi , Bulat Gafarov , Kaspar Wuthrich

A reliable reward model is essential for aligning large language models with human preferences through reinforcement learning from human feedback. However, standard reward models are susceptible to spurious features that are not causally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yupei Yang , Lin Yang , Wanxi Deng , Lin Qu , Fan Feng , Biwei Huang , Shikui Tu , Lei Xu

For studying or reducing the bias of functionals of the Kaplan-Meier survival estimator, the jackknifing approach of Stute and Wang (1994) is natural. We have studied the behavior of the jackknife estimate of bias under different…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-17 Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan , J. Ewart H. Shaw

Factor analysis is a classical data reduction technique that seeks a potentially lower number of unobserved variables that can account for the correlations among the observed variables. This paper presents an extension of the factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Tsung-I Lin , Pal H. Wu , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Sharon X. Lee

Models with latent factors recently attract a lot of attention. However, most investigations focus on linear regression models and thus cannot capture nonlinearity. To address this issue, we propose a novel Factor Augmented Single-Index…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Heng Lian , Xu Guo

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We revisit panel regressions with unobserved heterogeneity through the lens of variance-weighted average treatment effects. Building on established results for cross-sectional OLS and one-way fixed effects panels, we show that two-way panel…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Artūras Juodis , Martin Weidner

Randomized matrix algorithms have become workhorse tools in scientific computing and machine learning. To use these algorithms safely in applications, they should be coupled with posterior error estimates to assess the quality of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Ethan N. Epperly , Joel A. Tropp

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

This paper develops a novel method to estimate a latent factor model for a large target panel with missing observations by optimally using the information from auxiliary panel data sets. We refer to our estimator as target-PCA. Transfer…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-31 Junting Duan , Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

Along with the widespread adoption of high-dimensional data, traditional statistical methods face significant challenges in handling problems with high correlation of variables, heavy-tailed distribution, and coexistence of sparse and dense…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Xiaoyang Wei , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo , Meiling Hao , Yanmei Shi

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a high-dimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

Resampling methods are especially well-suited to inference with estimators that provide only "black-box'' access. Jackknife is a form of resampling, widely used for bias correction and variance estimation, that is well-understood under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Licong Lin , Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin Wainwright

Active learning is a powerful tool when labelling data is expensive, but it introduces a bias because the training data no longer follows the population distribution. We formalize this bias and investigate the situations in which it can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

Firth-type logistic regression has become a standard approach for the analysis of binary outcomes with small samples. Whereas it reduces the bias in maximum likelihood estimates of coefficients, bias towards 1/2 is introduced in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Rainer Puhr , Georg Heinze , Mariana Nold , Lara Lusa , Angelika Geroldinger

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner