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AI emulators for forecasting have emerged as powerful tools that can outperform conventional numerical predictions. The next frontier is to build emulators for long climate simulations with skill across a range of spatiotemporal scales, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Alistair Adcroft , Julius Busecke , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Shubham Gupta , Laure Zanna

Global climate models aim to reproduce physical processes on a global scale and predict quantities such as temperature given some forcing inputs. We consider climate ensembles made of collections of such runs with different initial…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Stefano Castruccio , Michael L. Stein

Convective processes are crucial in shaping exoplanetary atmospheres but are computationally expensive to simulate directly. A novel technique of simulating moist convection on tidally locked exoplanets is to use a global 3D model with a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-22 Denis E. Sergeev , Ian A. Boutle , F. Hugo Lambert , Nathan J. Mayne , Thomas Bendall , Krisztian Kohary , Enrico Olivier , Ben Shipway

Several complicated non-linear models exist which simulate the physical processes leading to fluctuations in global climate. Some of these more advanced models use observations to constrain various parameters involved. However, they tend to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Rajashik Tarafder , Dibyendu Nandy

Physics-based atmosphere-land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared to observations. Recently, AI emulators and hybrid models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ian Baxter , Hamid Pahlavan , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Katharine Rucker , Tiffany Shaw

Emulators, or reduced complexity climate models, are surrogate Earth system models that produce projections of key climate quantities with minimal computational resources. Using time-series modelling or more advanced machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-05 Shahine Bouabid , Dino Sejdinovic , Duncan Watson-Parris

Coupled atmosphere-ocean deep learning (DL) climate emulators are a new frontier but are known to exhibit weak ENSO variability, raising questions about their ability to simulate teleconnections. Here, we present the first Pacific pacemaker…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-27 Zhanxiang Hua , Christina Karamperidou , Zilu Meng

High-fidelity modeling of turbulent flows is one of the major challenges in computational physics, with diverse applications in engineering, earth sciences and astrophysics, among many others. The rising popularity of high-fidelity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-06 Arvind Mohan , Don Daniel , Michael Chertkov , Daniel Livescu

We present the design and scalable implementation of an exascale climate emulator for addressing the escalating computational and storage requirements of high-resolution Earth System Model simulations. We utilize the spherical harmonic…

Turbulence is characterised by chaotic dynamics and a high-dimensional state space, which make this phenomenon challenging to predict. However, turbulent flows are often characterised by coherent spatiotemporal structures, such as vortices…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-21 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Flexible 3D models to explore the vast diversity of terrestrial planets and interpret observational data are still in their early stages. In this work, we present OASIS: a novel and flexible 3D virtual planet laboratory. With OASIS we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-20 João M. Mendonça , Lars A. Buchhave

A closure model is presented for large-eddy simulation (LES) based on the three-dimensional variational data assimilation algorithm. The approach aims at reconstructing high-fidelity kinetic energy spectra in coarse numerical simulations by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-02 Sagy Ephrati , Arnout Franken , Erwin Luesink , Paolo Cifani , Bernard Geurts

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

With the success of machine learning (ML) applied to climate reaching further every day, emulators have begun to show promise not only for weather but for multi-year time scales in the atmosphere. Similar work for the ocean remains nascent,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-05 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Shubham Gupta , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Julius Busecke , Laure Zanna

Here, we describe Monthly Diffusion at 1.5-degree grid spacing (MD-1.5 version 0.9), a climate emulator that leverages a spherical Fourier neural operator (SFNO)-inspired Conditional Variational Auto-Encoder (CVAE) architecture to model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Kyle J. C. Hall , Maria J. Molina

Climate change necessitates rapid expansion of renewable energy, with wind energy offering a scalable and low-impact solution. However, accurate prediction of wind loads and power generation remains challenging due to uncertainties in wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-30 Omar Sallam , Mirjam Fürth

Kilometer-scale Earth system models are essential for capturing local climate change. However, these models are computationally expensive and produce petabyte-scale outputs, which limits their utility for applications such as probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Johannes Meuer , Maximilian Witte , Étiénne Plésiat , Thomas Ludwig , Christopher Kadow

The current explosion in machine learning for climate has led to skilled, computationally cheap emulators for the atmosphere. However, the research for ocean emulators remains nascent despite the large potential for accelerating coupled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Adam Subel , Laure Zanna

Adverse climate conditions pose significant challenges for autonomous systems, demanding reliable perception and decision-making across diverse environments. To better simulate these conditions, physically-based NeRF rendering methods have…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yuezhen Xie , Meiying Zhang , Qi Hao