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Related papers: Data assimilation for energy-aware hybrid models

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Data assimilation (DA) combines partial observations with dynamical models to improve state estimation. Filter-based DA uses only past and present data and is the prerequisite for real-time forecasts. Smoother-based DA exploits both past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Yingda Li

A Data Assimilation (DA) strategy based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to enhance the predictive capabilities of scale resolving numerical tools for the analysis of flows exhibiting cyclic behaviour. More precisely, an ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-20 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Jacques Borée , Marcello Meldi

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is a method that continuously integrates observational data into a dynamical system to improve model accuracy in real-time. The AOT algorithm is one of the most widely used methods in CDA due to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Ning Ning , Collin Victor

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Accurate estimation of error covariances (both background and observation) is crucial for efficient observation compression approaches in data assimilation of large-scale dynamical problems. We propose a new combination of a covariance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Sibo Cheng , Didier Lucor , Jean-Philippe Argaud

Deep learning has contributed greatly to many successes in artificial intelligence in recent years. Today, it is possible to train models that have thousands of layers and hundreds of billions of parameters. Large-scale deep models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Konrad Zuchniak

The data-aware method of distributions (DA-MD) is a low-dimension data assimilation procedure to forecast the behavior of dynamical systems described by differential equations. It combines sequential Bayesian update with the MD, such that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesca Boso , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Weather forecasting is fundamentally challenged by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, necessitating probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainty. While traditional ensemble prediction (EPS) addresses this through computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Xinlei Xiong , Wenbo Hu , Shuxun Zhou , Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Ying Liu , Richang Hong , Qi Tian

Computational modeling of a complex system is limited by the parts of the system with the least information. While detailed models and high-resolution data may be available for parts of a system, abstract relationships are often necessary…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Kara Bocan , Natasa Miskov-Zivanov

We explore the potential of three-dimensional data assimilation for assimilating sparsely-distributed 2-metre temperature observations across the coupled atmosphere-land interface into the soil moisture. Using idealised twin experiments…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-29 Tobias Finn , Gernot Geppert , Felix Ament

Data assimilation (DA) solves the inverse problem of inferring initial conditions given data and a model. Here we use biophysically motivated Hodgkin-Huxley (HH) models of avian HVCI neurons, experimentally obtained recordings of these…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-17 Daniel Breen , Sasha Shirman , Eve Armstrong , Nirag Kadakia , Henry Abarbanel

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

This chapter describes a novel approach for the treatment of model error in geophysical data assimilation. In this method, model error is treated as a deterministic process fully correlated in time. This allows for the derivation of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-11 Alberto Carrassi , Stéphane Vannitsem

Physics-based atmosphere-land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared to observations. Recently, AI emulators and hybrid models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ian Baxter , Hamid Pahlavan , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Katharine Rucker , Tiffany Shaw

In this paper, we introduce a new, local formulation of the ensemble Kalman Filter approach for atmospheric data assimilation. Our scheme is based on the hypothesis that, when the Earth's surface is divided up into local regions of moderate…

This paper presents a combined ocean and oil model for adaptive placement of sensors in the immediate aftermath of oilspills. A key feature of this model is the ability to correct its predictions of spill location using continual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-13 Zak Hodgson , David Browne , Inaki Esnaola , Bryn Jones

Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-27 Zekun Ni , Jonathan Weyn , Hang Zhang , Yanfei Xiang , Jiang Bian , Weixin Jin , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun

Hall Effect Thrusters (HETs) are electric thrusters that eject heavy ionized gas particles from the spacecraft to generate thrust. Although traditionally they were used for station keeping, recently They have been used for interplanetary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett