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We consider the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses at high-temperature and no external field, and study the problem of sampling from the Gibbs distribution $\mu$ in polynomial time. We prove that, for any inverse temperature…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Ahmed El Alaoui , Andrea Montanari , Mark Sellke

We present the first iterative spectral algorithm to find near-optimal solutions for a random quadratic objective over the discrete hypercube, resolving a conjecture of Subag [Subag, Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, 74(5),…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 David Jekel , Juspreet Singh Sandhu , Jonathan Shi

Collecting and aggregating information from several probability measures or histograms is a fundamental task in machine learning. One of the popular solution methods for this task is to compute the barycenter of the probability measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Minhui Huang , Shiqian Ma , Lifeng Lai

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

In this paper the problem of restoration of non-negative sparse signals is addressed in the Bayesian framework. We introduce a new probabilistic hierarchical prior, based on the Generalized Hyperbolic (GH) distribution, which explicitly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-12 Mehdi Chahine Amrouche , Hervé Carfantan , Jérôme Idier

In this article we consider the development of unbiased estimators of the Hessian, of the log-likelihood function with respect to parameters, for partially observed diffusion processes. These processes arise in numerous applications, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

A fruitful approach for solving signal deconvolution problems consists of resorting to a frame-based convex variational formulation. In this context, parallel proximal algorithms and related alternating direction methods of multipliers have…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Nelly Pustelnik , Jean-Christophe Pesquet , Caroline Chaux

Score-based diffusion models have recently been extended to infinite-dimensional function spaces, with uses such as inverse problems arising from partial differential equations. In the Bayesian formulation of inverse problems, the aim is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Elizabeth L. Baker , Alexander Denker , Jes Frellsen

This paper proposes self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability in forecast comparison. By normalizing the sample mean of the transformed loss differential using functionals of its cumulative sum (CUSUM) process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Qitong Chen , Shuwen Lai

Recently, sparsity-based algorithms are proposed for super-resolution spectrum estimation. However, to achieve adequately high resolution in real-world signal analysis, the dictionary atoms have to be close to each other in frequency,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-05 Yiyuan She , Huanghuang Li , Jiangping Wang , Dapeng Wu

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

This paper deals with the estimation of a probability measure on the real line from data observed with an additive noise. We are interested in rates of convergence for the Wasserstein metric of order $p\geq 1$. The distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-05 Jérôme Dedecker , Aurélie Fischer , Bertrand Michel

The Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood (BSL) method is a widely-used tool for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. This method assumes that some summary statistics are normally distributed, which can be incorrect in many applications. We propose…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-16 Nhat-Minh Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Christopher Drovandi , David Nott

Gaussian smoothing has emerged as an effective technique for reducing the sample complexity of optimal transport. In this paper, we study the two-sample plug-in estimator of the Gaussian-smoothed Wasserstein cost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jiaping Yang , Yunxin Zhang

For a class of partially observed diffusions, conditions are given for the map from the initial condition of the signal to filtering distribution to be contractive with respect to Wasserstein distances, with rate which does not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Nick Whiteley

Normalizing constant (also called partition function, Bayesian evidence, or marginal likelihood) is one of the central goals of Bayesian inference, yet most of the existing methods are both expensive and inaccurate. Here we develop a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-09 He Jia , Uroš Seljak

We present a novel approximate inference method for diffusion processes, based on the Wasserstein gradient flow formulation of the diffusion. In this formulation, the time-dependent density of the diffusion is derived as the limit of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Charlie Frogner , Tomaso Poggio

We introduce a new method for solving nonlinear continuous optimization problems with chance constraints. Our method is based on a reformulation of the probabilistic constraint as a quantile function. The quantile function is approximated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Alejandra Peña-Ordieres , James R. Luedtke , Andreas Wächter

In this paper we develop a new general Bayesian methodology that simultaneously estimates parameters of interest and the marginal likelihood of the model. The proposed methodology builds on Simulated Tempering, which is a powerful algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 Biljana Jonoska Stojkova , David A. Campbell
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