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The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

1.) Spatio-temporal datasets that are difficult to analyze are common in ecological surveys. There are software packages available to analyze these datasets, but many of them require advanced coding skills. There is a growing need for easy…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Ethan Lawler , Chris Field , Joanna Mills Flemming

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

I consider the use of Markov random fields (MRFs) on a fine grid to represent latent spatial processes when modeling point-level and areal data, including situations with spatial misalignment. Point observations are related to the grid cell…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christopher J. Paciorek

The application of geostatistical and machine learning methods based on Gaussian processes to big space-time data is beset by the requirement for storing and numerically inverting large and dense covariance matrices. Computationally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-10 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Vasiliki D. Agou

Time series data captures properties that change over time. Such data occurs widely, ranging from the scientific and medical domains to the industrial and environmental domains. When the properties in time series exhibit spatial variations,…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Bin Yang , Yuxuan Liang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas including ecology. The recent proliferation of the use of in-situ sensors in streams and rivers supports space-time water quality modelling and monitoring in near real-time. A…

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

Ranking data are frequently obtained nowadays but there are still scarce methods for treating these data when temporally observed. The present paper contributes to this topic by proposing and developing novel models for handling time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Luiza Piancastelli , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We propose a new modeling framework for highly-multivariate spatial processes that synthesizes ideas from recent multiscale and spectral approaches with graphical models. The basis graphical lasso writes a univariate Gaussian process as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Dorit Hammerling , Stephen Becker

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

We introduce a Bayesian non-parametric spatial factor analysis model with spatial dependency induced through a prior on factor loadings. For each column of the loadings matrix, spatial dependency is encoded using a probit stick-breaking…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-12 Samuel I. Berchuck , Mark Janko , Felipe A. Medeiros , William Pan , Sayan Mukherjee

Bayesian hierarchical models with latent Gaussian layers have proven very flexible in capturing complex stochastic behavior and hierarchical structures in high-dimensional spatial and spatio-temporal data. Whereas simulation-based Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Thomas Opitz

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li