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This paper focuses on the Bayesian Network Propensity Score (BNPS), a novel approach for estimating treatment effects in observational studies characterized by unknown (and likely unbalanced) designs and complex dependency structures among…

We propose a novel classification framework grounded in symbolic dynamics and data compression using chaotic maps. The core idea is to model each class by generating symbolic sequences from thresholded real-valued training data, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Parth Naik , Harikrishnan N B

The Shapley value provides a principled framework for fairly distributing rewards among participants according to their individual contributions. While prior work has applied this concept to data valuation in machine learning, existing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Zhuofan Jia , Jian Pei

The chaotic nature of fluid flow and the uncertainties in initial conditions limit predictability. Small errors that occur in the initial condition can grow exponentially until they saturate at $\mathcal{O}$(1). Ensemble forecasting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Rui Fang

We present a new construction of the entropy-maximizing, invariant probability measure on a Smale space (the Bowen measure). Our construction is based on points that are unstably equivalent to one given point, and stably equivalent to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-15 D. B. Killough , I. F. Putnam

Empirical research in economics often examines the behavior of agents located in a geographic space. In such cases, statistical inference is complicated by the interdependence of economic outcomes across locations. A common approach to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-21 Stefano DellaVigna , Guido Imbens , Woojin Kim , David M. Ritzwoller

In this study, a temporal graph model is designed to model the behavior of collective sports teams based on the networks of player interactions. The main motivation for the model is to integrate the temporal dimension into the analysis of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Quentin Bourgeais , Eric Sanlaville , Rodolphe Charrier , Ludovic Seifert

A new approach in team sports analysis consists in studying positioning and movements of players during the game in relation to team performance. State of the art tracking systems produce spatio-temporal traces of players that have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-06 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Robots in dynamic environments need fast, accurate models of how objects move in their environments to support agile planning. In sports such as ping pong, analytical models often struggle to accurately predict ball trajectories with spins…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Qingyu Xiao , Zixuan Wu , Matthew Gombolay

In this paper, prediction for linear systems with missing information is investigated. New methods are introduced to improve the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set in comparison to state-of-the-art methods, through appropriate tuning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-04 Mohammad Amin Fakharian , Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti

Given a finite sequence of graphs, e.g., coming from technological, biological, and social networks, the paper proposes a methodology to identify possible changes in stationarity in the stochastic process generating the graphs. In order to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi

Change point detection is a typical task that aim to find changes in time series and can be tackled with two-sample test. Copula Entropy is a mathematical concept for measuring statistical independence and a two-sample test based on it was…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Jian Ma

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan

We consider change-point tests based on rank statistics to test for structural changes in long-range dependent observations. Under the hypothesis of stationary time series and under the assumption of a change with decreasing change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

This paper proposes a new semi-parametric identification and estimation approach to multinomial choice models in a panel data setting with individual fixed effects. Our approach is based on cyclic monotonicity, which is a defining feature…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum , Wei Song

This study investigates pedestrian crash severity through Automated Machine Learning (AutoML), offering a streamlined and accessible method for analyzing critical factors. Utilizing a detailed dataset from Utah spanning 2010-2021, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Amir Rafe , Patrick A. Singleton

We develop an entropy based framework for analyzing symmetry breaking in dynamical systems. Information transfer, which measures the directional exchange of entropy between observables, provides a quantitative early indicator of symmetry…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-20 Subhrajit Sinha , Parvathi Kooloth

Wall shear stress (WSS) is a crucial hemodynamic quantity extensively studied in cardiovascular research, yet its numerical computation is not straightforward. This work aims to compare WSS results obtained from two different finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Jana Brunátová , Jørgen Schartum Dokken , Kristian Valen-Sendstad , Jaroslav Hron

This paper deals with an important subject in classification problems addressed by machine learning techniques: the evaluation of the influence of each of the features on the classification of individuals. Specifically, a measure of that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 L. Davila-Pena , Ignacio García-Jurado , B. Casas-Méndez