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Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for robust and reliable predictions. However, existing spatiotemporal deep learning mostly focuses on deterministic prediction, overlooking the inherent uncertainty in such prediction. Particularly,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Dingyi Zhuang , Yuheng Bu , Guang Wang , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi

Radiography is often used to probe complex, evolving density fields in dynamic systems and in so doing gain insight into the underlying physics. This technique has been used in numerous fields including materials science, shock physics,…

We develop a perturbative approach that allows one to study the surface scattering in quasi-1D waveguides with rough boundaries. Our approach is based on the construction of an effective ``bulk'' potential of a very complicated structure.…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-09-25 F. M. Izrailev , N. M. Makarov , M. Rendon

Geometric data pruning methods, while practical for leveraging pretrained models, are fundamentally unstable. Their reliance on extrinsic geometry renders them highly sensitive to latent space perturbations, causing performance to degrade…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Arjun Roy , Prajna G. Malettira , Manish Nagaraj , Kaushik Roy

Smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) has been extensively used to model high and low Reynolds number flows, free surface flows and collapse of dams, study pore-scale flow and dispersion, elasticity, and thermal problems. In different…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Alexander A. Lukyanov , Kees Vuik

Surface roughness significantly impacts transition to turbulence, especially over high-speed, blunt geometries where surface ablation is necessary to mitigate heat loads during atmospheric entry. Inspired by sand-grain roughness experiments…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-04 Sean Dungan , Mateus Braga , Robyn Macdonald , Christoph Brehm

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for safety-critical domains like healthcare, yet it is rarely evaluated under realistic out-of-distribution (OOD) conditions. Here, we assessed predictive performance and uncertainty reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Mohammad Moulaeifard , Ciaran Bench , Philip J. Aston , Nils Strodthoff

This paper introduces a stochastic simulator for seismic uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for performance-based earthquake engineering. The proposed simulator extends the recently developed dimensionality reduction-based…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-27 Jungho Kim , Ziqi Wang

We consider theoretically the Cassie-Baxter and Wenzel states describing the wetting contact angles for rough substrates. More precisely, we consider different types of periodic geometries such as square protrusions and disks in 2D, grooves…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-08-20 Joël De Coninck , François Dunlop , Thierry Huillet

We introduce an unsupervised formulation to estimate heteroscedastic uncertainty in retrieval systems. We propose an extension to triplet loss that models data uncertainty for each input. Besides improving performance, our formulation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Ahmed Taha , Yi-Ting Chen , Teruhisa Misu , Abhinav Shrivastava , Larry Davis

Learning data representations under uncertainty is an important task that emerges in numerous scientific computing and data analysis applications. However, uncertainty quantification techniques are computationally intensive and become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Paz Fink Shustin , Shashanka Ubaru , Małgorzata J. Zimoń , Songtao Lu , Vasileios Kalantzis , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron

Turbulent flow over a surface with streamwise-elongated rough and smooth stripes is studied by means of direct numerical simulation (DNS) in a periodic plane open channel with fully resolved roughness. The goal is to understand how the mean…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-23 A. Stroh , K. Schäfer , B. Frohnapfel , P. Forooghi

Recent work has shown that the hidden states of large language models contain signals useful for uncertainty estimation and hallucination detection, motivating a growing interest in efficient probe-based approaches. Yet it remains unclear…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Joe Stacey , Hadas Orgad , Kentaro Inui , Benjamin Heinzerling , Nafise Sadat Moosavi

The phenomenon of drag reduction by polymer additives had been studied in simulations on the basis of non-Newtonian fluid mechanical models that take into account the field of polymer extension (conformation tensor) and its interaction with…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Roberto Benzi , Emily S. C. Ching , Itamar Procaccia

We report a multiscale approach of broad applicability to stochastic reconstruction of multiphase materials, including porous ones. The approach devised uses an optimization method, such as the simulated annealing (SA) and the so-called…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-11-13 R. Piasecki , W. Olchawa , D. Frączek , R. Wiśniowski

Spatially referenced datasets have become increasingly prevalent across many fields, largely driven by advances in data collection methods such as satellite remote sensing. In many applications, predictions at unobserved locations are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Isaac Amouzou , Ben Seiyon Lee

In this Letter, the falling of super-hydrophobic spheres is investigated experimentally at low Reynolds numbers. In particular, we show that super-hydrophobic coatings become ineffective at reducing drag unlike predicted by theoretical and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-24 Marco Castagna , Nicolas Mazellier , Pierre-Yves Passaggia , Azeddine Kourta

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu
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