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Related papers: CCE: Confidence-Consistency Evaluation for Time Se…

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Time-series anomaly detection, which detects errors and failures in a workflow, is one of the most important topics in real-world applications. The purpose of time-series anomaly detection is to reduce potential damages or losses. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Jinsung Jeon , Jaehyeon Park , Sewon Park , Jeongwhan Choi , Minjung Kim , Noseong Park

Building a scalable machine learning system for unsupervised anomaly detection via representation learning is highly desirable. One of the prevalent methods is using a reconstruction error from variational autoencoder (VAE) via maximizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Seonho Park , George Adosoglou , Panos M. Pardalos

Counterfactual Explanations (CEs) have emerged as a major paradigm in explainable AI research, providing recourse recommendations for users affected by the decisions of machine learning models. However, CEs found by existing methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Junqi Jiang , Francesco Leofante , Antonio Rago , Francesca Toni

Time series anomaly detection has garnered considerable attention across diverse domains. While existing methods often fail to capture the underlying mechanisms behind anomaly generation in time series data. In addition, time series anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yutong Xia , Yingying Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lunting Fan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann

Understanding the confidence with which a machine learning model classifies an input datum is an important, and perhaps under-investigated, concept. In this paper, we propose a new calibration metric, the Entropic Calibration Difference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Daniel James Sumler , Lee Devlin , Simon Maskell , Richard O. Lane

Exploiting the rapid advances in probabilistic inference, in particular variational Bayes and variational autoencoders (VAEs), for anomaly detection (AD) tasks remains an open research question. Previous works argued that training VAE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Adrian Alan Pol , Victor Berger , Gianluca Cerminara , Cecile Germain , Maurizio Pierini

Time series anomaly detection is important in modern large-scale systems and is applied in a variety of domains to analyze and monitor the operation of diverse systems. Unsupervised approaches have received widespread interest, as they do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Buang Zhang , Tung Kieu , Xiangfei Qiu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Aoying Zhou , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

Graphical structures estimated by causal learning algorithms from time series data can provide misleading causal information if the causal timescale of the generating process fails to match the measurement timescale of the data. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-22 Mohammadsajad Abavisani , David Danks , Sergey Plis

At the crossway of machine learning and data analysis, anomaly detection aims at identifying observations that exhibit abnormal behaviour. Be it measurement errors, disease development, severe weather, production quality default(s) (items)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Romain Valla , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Pursuing fast and robust interpretability in Anomaly Detection is crucial, especially due to its significance in practical applications. Traditional Anomaly Detection methods excel in outlier identification but are often black-boxes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Valentina Zaccaria , David Dandolo , Chiara Masiero , Gian Antonio Susto

Time series Anomaly Detection (AD) plays a crucial role for web systems. Various web systems rely on time series data to monitor and identify anomalies in real time, as well as to initiate diagnosis and remediation procedures. Variational…

This study proposes median consensus embedding (MCE) to address variability in low-dimensional embeddings caused by random initialization in nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques such as $t$-distributed stochastic neighbor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Yui Tomo , Daisuke Yoneoka

With the rapid development of technology, the automated monitoring systems of large-scale factories are becoming more and more important. By collecting a large amount of machine sensor data, we can have many ways to find anomalies. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Ching Chang , Wen-Chih Peng

Identifying anomalies from time series data plays an important role in various fields such as infrastructure security, intelligent operation and maintenance, and space exploration. Current research focuses on detecting the anomalies after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Sinong Zhao , Wenrui Wang , Hongzuo Xu , Zhaoyang Yu , Qingsong Wen , Gang Wang , xiaoguang Liu , Guansong Pang

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

Machine learning algorithms in socially sensitive domains (e.g., credit decisions) often focus on equalizing predictive outcomes. However, satisfying these metrics does not guarantee that models use the same reasoning for different groups.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Gideon Popoola , John Sheppard

Counterfactual Explanations (CFEs) interpret machine learning models by identifying the smallest change to input features needed to change the model's prediction to a desired output. For classification tasks, CFEs determine how close a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Margarita A. Guerrero , Cristian R. Rojas

Time-series anomaly detection is a popular topic in both academia and industrial fields. Many companies need to monitor thousands of temporal signals for their applications and services and require instant feedback and alerts for potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Yuanxiang Ying , Juanyong Duan , Chunlei Wang , Yujing Wang , Congrui Huang , Bixiong Xu

Detecting anomalies in large complex systems is a critical and challenging task. The difficulties arise from several aspects. First, collecting ground truth labels or prior knowledge for anomalies is hard in real-world systems, which often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Huiling Qin , Xianyuan Zhan , Yu Zheng