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We examine volatility of an Indian stock market in terms of aspects like participation, synchronization of stocks and quantification of volatility using the random matrix approach. Volatility pattern of the market is found using the BSE…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Kulkarni , N. Deo

This study utilised the dynamics of five time-varying models to estimate six essential features of financial return volatility that are relevant for robust risk management. These features include pronounced persistence, mean reversion,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-05 Richard T. A. Samuel , Charles Chimedza , Caston Sigauke

Emerging markets such as India provide investors with returns far greater than those in developed markets; taking the average returns from the period 1995 to 2014 the returns are 4.714% to 3.276% of the developed market. The majority of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-28 Ganapathy G Gangadharan , N. Suresh

Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) are a primary vehicle for retail equity participation in India, yet the impact of their intra-month timing remains underexplored. This study offers a 22-year (2003--2024) comparative analysis of SIP…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-08 Siddharth Gavhale

Financial markets alternate between tranquil periods and episodes of stress, and return dynamics can change substantially across these regimes. We study regime-dependent dynamics in developed and developing equity indices using a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Buddha Nath Sharma , Kundan Mukhia , Md. Nurujjaman , Anish Rai , Filippo Petroni , Luis E. C. Rocha

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

We study the volatility time series of 1137 most traded stocks in the US stock markets for the two-year period 2001-02 and analyze their return intervals $\tau$, which are time intervals between volatilities above a given threshold $q$. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-05 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Volatility in stock markets has been extensively studied in the applied finance literature. In this paper, Artificial Neural Network models based on various back propagation algorithms have been constructed to predict volatility in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

This paper develops a Bayesian Generalised Pareto Regression (GPR) model to forecast extreme losses in Indian equity markets, with a focus on the Nifty 50 index. Extreme negative returns, though rare, can cause significant financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Sourish Das

Financial markets typically exhibit dynamically complex properties as they undergo continuous interactions with economic and environmental factors. The Efficient Market Hypothesis indicates a rich difference in the structural complexity of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-06 Hongjian Xiao , Yao Lei Xu , Danilo P. Mandic

This paper uses the concepts of entropy to study the regularity/irregularity of the returns from the Indian Foreign exchange (forex) markets. The Approximate Entropy and Sample Entropy statistics which measure the level of repeatability in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-09 Radhika Prosad Datta

We investigate scaling and memory effects in return intervals between price volatilities above a certain threshold $q$ for the Japanese stock market using daily and intraday data sets. We find that the distribution of return intervals can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Woo-Sung Jung , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , Taisei Kaizoji , Hie-Tae Moon , H. Eugene Stanley

This study attempts to investigate into the structure and features of global equity markets from a time-frequency perspective. An analysis grounded on this framework allows one to capture information from a different dimension, as opposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari

This paper systematically conducts an analysis of the composite index 1-min datasets over the 17-year period (2005-2021) for both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. To reveal the difference between the Chinese and the mature stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz's definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-17 Victor Olkhov

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

This study quantifies survivorship bias in India's NIFTY Smallcap 250 index using a dataset of 1,437 stocks over nine years (2016-2025). By reconstructing historical index composition through market capitalization ranking and comparing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Harjot Singh Ranse

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

Our study focuses on determining the presence of abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the context of the Indian market. The physical momentum portfolios, comprising stocks from the NSE 500, are constructed for the daily,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-28 Naresh Kumar Devulapally , Tulasi Narendra Das Tripurana

Several works have observed heavy-tailed behavior in the distributions of returns in different markets, which are observable indicators of underlying complex dynamics. Such prior works study return distributions that are marginalized across…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-11 Hideyuki Miyahara , Hai Qian , Pavan Holur , Vwani Roychowdhury
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