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This paper features expectiles in dynamic and stochastic optimization. Expectiles are a family of risk functionals characterized as minimizers of optimization problems. For this reason, they enjoy various unique stability properties, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Rajmadan Lakshmanan , Alois Pichler

Expectiles were introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) in the context of linear regression models. Recently, Bellini et al. (2014) revealed that expectiles can also be seen as reasonable law-invariant risk measures. In this article, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Volker Krätschmer , Henryk Zähle

Nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, especially in finance risk measure and management.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-15 Lu Lin , Yufeng Shi , Xin Wang , Shuzhen Yang

Expectiles were defined using a minimisation principle. They form a special class of coherent risk measures. We will describe the scenario set and we will show that there is a most severe commonotonic risk measure that is smaller than the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Freddy Delbaen

A generalization of expectiles for d-dimensional multivariate distribution functions is introduced. The resulting geometric expectiles are unique solutions to a convex risk minimization problem and are given by d-dimensional vectors. They…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Melina Mailhot

Quantiles, expectiles and extremiles can be seen as concepts defined via an optimization problem, where this optimization problem is driven by two important ingredients: the loss function as well as a distributional weight function. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Dieter Debrauwer , Irène Gijbels , Klaus Herrmann

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We propose a wide class of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

Recently defined expectile regions capture the idea of centrality with respect to a multivariate distribution, but fail to describe the tail behavior while it is not at all clear what should be understood by a tail of a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Ha Thi Khanh Linh , Andreas H Hamel

For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dirk Tasche

The expectile can be considered as a generalization of quantile. While expected shortfall is a quantile based risk measure, we study its counterpart -- the expectile based expected shortfall -- where expectile takes the place of quantile.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-11 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

The paper derives saddlepoint expansions for conditional expectations in the form of $\mathsf{E}[\overline{X} | \overline{\mathbf Y} = {\mathbf a}]$ and $\mathsf{E}[\overline{X} | \overline{\mathbf Y} \geq {\mathbf a}]$ for the sample mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Sojung Kim , Kyoung-kuk Kim

We derive an extended empirical likelihood for parameters defined by estimating equations which generalizes the original empirical likelihood for such parameters to the full parameter space. Under mild conditions, the extended empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

As a counterpart to the (static) risk measures of generalized quantiles and motivated by Bellini et al. (2018), we propose a new kind of conditional risk measure called conditional generalized quantiles. We first show their well-definedness…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-31 Qinyu Wu , Fan Yang , Ping Zhang

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are commonly used risk measures in financial risk management. The two measurements are correlated while have distinguished features. In this project, our primary goal is to develop stable and practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Xiang Peng , Huixia Judy Wang

The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Ismihan Bayramoglu

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and their properties have been studied for independent data, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Anthony C. Davison , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

The notion of expectiles, originally introduced in the context of testing for homoscedasticity and conditional symmetry of the error distribution in linear regression, induces a law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure that has…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. When evaluating and comparing competing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Werner Ehm , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler
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