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With the insight of variance-bias decomposition, we design a new hybrid bagging-boosting algorithm named SBPMT for classification problems. For the boosting part of SBPMT, we propose a new tree model called Probit Model Tree (PMT) as base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-07 Tian Qin , Wei-Min Huang

Various networks are broadly and deeply applied in real-life applications. Reliability is the most important index for measuring the performance of all network types. Among the various algorithms, only implicit enumeration algorithms, such…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Wei-Chang Yeh

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

By allowing the effects of $p$ covariates in a linear regression model to vary as functions of $R$ additional effect modifiers, varying-coefficient models (VCMs) strike a compelling balance between interpretable-but-rigid parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Soham Ghosh , Saloni Bhogale , Sameer K. Deshpande

There is interest in learning about the causal effects of modern contraceptive use on empowerment outcomes. Data on this question often come from family planning (FP) programs that increase access to FP and facilitate contraceptive use…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Lucas Godoy Garraza , Ilene Speizer , Leontine Alkema

The inclusion of the propensity score as a covariate in Bayesian regression trees for causal inference can reduce the bias in treatment effect estimations, which occurs due to the regularization-induced confounding phenomenon. This study…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-30 Pedro Henrique Filipini dos Santos , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous daughter nodes according to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Jason M. Klusowski

The expectation is an example of a descriptive statistic that is monotone with respect to stochastic dominance, and additive for sums of independent random variables. We provide a complete characterization of such statistics, and explore a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-06 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma

Shape constrained regression analysis has applications in dose-response modeling, environmental risk assessment, disease screening and many other areas. Incorporating the shape constraints can improve estimation efficiency and avoid…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-19 Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

This paper tackles the problem of constructing a non-parametric predictor when the latent variables are given with incomplete information. The convenient predictor for this task is the random forest algorithm in conjunction to the so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Emilien Joly

Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

Random Forests (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) are two of the most widely used and highly performing classification and regression models. They aggregate equally weighted CART trees, generated randomly in RF or sequentially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yubing Cui

Studying the association between mixtures of environmental exposures and health outcomes can be challenging due to issues such as correlation among the exposures and non-linearities or interactions in the exposure-response function. For…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-15 Jacob Englert , Stefanie Ebelt , Howard Chang

The decision tree is a flexible machine learning model that finds its success in numerous applications. It is usually fitted in a recursively greedy manner using CART. In this paper, we investigate the convergence rate of CART under a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-27 Rahul Mazumder , Haoyue Wang

Staged trees are a relatively recent class of probabilistic graphical models that extend Bayesian networks to formally and graphically account for non-symmetric patterns of dependence. Machine learning algorithms to learn them from data…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-04 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting survey response rates using a family of flexible and interpretable nonparametric models. The study is motivated by the US Census Bureau's well-known ROAM application, which uses a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Shibal Ibrahim , Peter Radchenko , Emanuel Ben-David , Rahul Mazumder

The problems of model and variable selections for classification trees are jointly considered. A penalized criterion is proposed which explicitly takes into account the number of variables, and a risk bound inequality is provided for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-27 Servane Gey , Tristan Mary-Huard

We present a novel approach for constrained Bayesian inference. Unlike current methods, our approach does not require convexity of the constraint set. We reduce the constrained variational inference to a parametric optimization over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Joydeep Ghosh
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