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The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typically activated in response to changes in ocean temperatures…

Internal climate variability arises from the climate system's inherently chaotic dynamics. Quantifying it is essential for climate science, as it enables risk-based decision-making and differentiates between externally forced change and…

We introduce a framework for developing efficient and interpretable climate emulators (CEs) for economic models of climate change. The paper makes two main contributions. First, we propose a general framework for constructing carbon-cycle…

For manufacturing of aerospace composites, several parts may be processed simultaneously using convective heating in an autoclave. Due to uncertainties including tool placement, convective Boundary Conditions (BCs) vary in each run. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Keith D. Humfeld , Dawei Gu , Geoffrey A. Butler , Karl Nelson , Navid Zobeiry

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Reinforcement learning (RL) is still rarely applied in industrial control, partly due to the difficulty of training reliable agents for real-world conditions. This work investigates how evolution strategies can support RL in such settings…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tom Maus , Stephan Frank , Tobias Glasmachers

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Autoencoders are powerful machine learning models used to compress information from multiple data sources. However, autoencoders, like all artificial neural networks, are often unidentifiable and uninterpretable. This research focuses on…

Compared to humans, machine learning models generally require significantly more training examples and fail to extrapolate from experience to solve previously unseen challenges. To help close this performance gap, we augment single-task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Tailin Wu , John Peurifoy , Isaac L. Chuang , Max Tegmark

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

The prediction of future climate scenarios under anthropogenic forcing is critical to understand climate change and to assess the impact of potentially counter-acting technologies. Machine learning and hybrid techniques for this prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Sebastian Hoffmann , Christian Lessig

Visual geo-localization for drones faces critical degradation under weather perturbations, \eg, rain and fog, where existing methods struggle with two inherent limitations: 1) Heavy reliance on limited weather categories that constrain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Jiahao Wen , Hang Yu , Zhedong Zheng

Turbulence is a phenomena that is {\it locally} and statistically characterized by measurements, but it is caused by {\it nonlocal} energy cascades associated with the environment. The presence of turbulence coincides with fluctuations in…

Optics · Physics 2026-05-11 Arial Tolentino , Markus Petters , Luat T. Vuong

In this paper, we investigate meta-learning for combining forecasts generated by models of different types. While typical approaches for combining forecasts involve simple averaging, machine learning techniques enable more sophisticated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Grzegorz Dudek

Imbalanced domain learning aims to produce accurate models in predicting instances that, though underrepresented, are of utmost importance for the domain. Research in this field has been mainly focused on classification tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Aníbal Silva , Rita P. Ribeiro , Nuno Moniz

We propose meta-curvature (MC), a framework to learn curvature information for better generalization and fast model adaptation. MC expands on the model-agnostic meta-learner (MAML) by learning to transform the gradients in the inner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Eunbyung Park , Junier B. Oliva

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Use of generative models and deep learning for physics-based systems is currently dominated by the task of emulation. However, the remarkable flexibility offered by data-driven architectures would suggest to extend this representation to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Guoxiang Grayson Tong , Carlos A. Sing Long , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

In this study, we improve a neural network (NN) parameterization of deep convection in the global atmosphere model ARP-GEM. To take into account the sporadic nature of convection, we develop a NN parameterization that includes a triggering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Hugo Germain , Blanka Balogh , Olivier Geoffroy , David Saint-Martin