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The Monte Carlo (MC) method is the most common technique used for uncertainty quantification, due to its simplicity and good statistical results. However, its computational cost is extremely high, and, in many cases, prohibitive.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-21 A. Cunha , R. Nasser , R. Sampaio , H. Lopes , K. Breitman

In this paper we propose a general framework for the uncertainty quantification of quantities of interest for high-contrast single-phase flow problems. It is based on the generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM) and multilevel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Yalchin Efendiev , Bangti Jin , Michael Presho , Xiaosi Tan

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

In this work, we focus on reduced order modeling (ROM) techniques for hyperbolic conservation laws with application in uncertainty quantification (UQ) and in conjunction with the well-known Monte Carlo sampling method. Because we are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-13 R. Crisovan , D. Torlo , R. Abgrall , S. Tokareva

Tailoring the performance of next-generation high entropy materials requires a deep understanding of the competition between entropy-driven random solid solution and enthalpy-driven chemical ordering. Investigating such order and disorder…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-24 Fanli Zhou , Hao Chen , Pengxiang Xu , Kai Yang , Zongrui Pei , Xianglin Liu

We present a continuous-time Monte Carlo method for quantum impurity models, which combines a weak-coupling expansion with an auxiliary-field decomposition. The method is considerably more efficient than Hirsch-Fye and free of time…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2008-06-02 Emanuel Gull , Philipp Werner , Olivier Parcollet , Matthias Troyer

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network surrogate sampling method for the uncertainty quantification of physical/biological systems described by ordinary or partial differential equations. We first generate a set of low/high-fidelity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Mohammad Motamed

This study proposes a high-order multi-scale method tailored for time-dependent nonlinear thermo-electro-mechanical coupling problems of composite structures with highly spatial heterogeneity, which incorporate temperature-dependent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Hao Dong

This paper considers uncertainty quantification for an elliptic nonlocal equation. In particular, it is assumed that the parameters which define the kernel in the nonlocal operator are uncertain and a priori distributed according to a…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-22 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

We use the Multi Level Monte Carlo method to estimate uncertainties in a Henry-like salt water intrusion problem with a fracture. The flow is induced by the variation of the density of the fluid phase, which depends on the mass fraction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Dmitry Logashenko , Alexander Litvinenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum

In this paper we consider the development of Implicit-Explicit (IMEX) Runge-Kutta schemes for hyperbolic systems with multiscale relaxation. In such systems the scaling depends on an additional parameter which modifies the nature of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-17 S. Boscarino , L. Pareschi , G. Russo

In this paper, we develop new high-order numerical methods for hyperbolic systems of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertainties. The new approach is realized in the semi-discrete finite-volume framework and is based…

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We consider the application of multilevel Monte Carlo methods to elliptic PDEs with random coefficients. We focus on models of the random coefficient that lack uniform ellipticity and boundedness with respect to the random parameter, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-17 A. L. Teckentrup , R. Scheichl , M. B. Giles , E. Ullmann

We discuss the application of multilevel Monte Carlo methods to elliptic partial differential equations with random coefficients. Such problems arise, for example, in uncertainty quantification in subsurface flow modeling. We give a brief…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-08 A. L. Teckentrup

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan

We consider the construction of semi-implicit linear multistep methods which can be applied to time dependent PDEs where the separation of scales in additive form, typically used in implicit-explicit (IMEX) methods, is not possible. As…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin