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Despite achieving excellent performance on benchmarks, deep neural networks often underperform in real-world deployment due to sensitivity to minor, often imperceptible shifts in input data, known as distributional shifts. These shifts are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Birk Torpmann-Hagen , Pål Halvorsen , Michael A. Riegler , Dag Johansen

Deep neural networks tend to make overconfident predictions and often require additional detectors for misclassifications, particularly for safety-critical applications. Existing detection methods usually only focus on adversarial attacks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Julia Lust , Alexandru P. Condurache

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

Many applications of classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural networks, achieve high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Jonathan Wenger , Hedvig Kjellström , Rudolph Triebel

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

Estimating the test performance of a model, possibly under distribution shift, without having access to the ground-truth labels is a challenging, yet very important problem for the safe deployment of machine learning algorithms in the wild.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Renchunzi Xie , Ambroise Odonnat , Vasilii Feofanov , Ievgen Redko , Jianfeng Zhang , Bo An

Since the establishment of vision-language foundation models as the new mainstay in low-shot vision classification tasks, the question of domain generalization arising from insufficient target data is assuming more importance. This scarcity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Behraj Khan , Rizwan Qureshi , Nouman Muhammad Durrani , Tahir Syed

Although deep neural networks (DNNs) achieve high predictive accuracy, their confidence estimates are often unreliable, potentially compromising user trust in their decisions. This has motivated research on calibrated models, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Ramya Hebbalaguppe , Ajay Shastry , Soumya Suvra Ghosal , Chetan Arora

Due to the substantial computational cost, training state-of-the-art deep neural networks for large-scale datasets often requires distributed training using multiple computation workers. However, by nature, workers need to frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yusuke Tsuzuku , Hiroto Imachi , Takuya Akiba

Distribution shifts pose significant challenges for model calibration and model selection tasks in the unsupervised domain adaptation problem -- a scenario where the goal is to perform well in a distribution shifted domain without labels.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Taejong Joo , Diego Klabjan

Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

Miscalibration in deep learning refers to there is a discrepancy between the predicted confidence and performance. This problem usually arises due to the overfitting problem, which is characterized by learning everything presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Zongbo Han , Yifeng Yang , Changqing Zhang , Linjun Zhang , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Qinghua Hu

This paper presents a gradient-informed fine-tuning method for large language models under few-shot conditions. The goal is to enhance task adaptability and training stability when data is limited. The method builds on a base loss function…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Hongye Zheng , Yichen Wang , Ray Pan , Guiran Liu , Binrong Zhu , Hanlu Zhang

The performance of deep segmentation models often degrades due to distribution shifts in image intensities between the training and test data sets. This is particularly pronounced in multi-centre studies involving data acquired using…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-03 Zhendong Liu , Van Manh , Xin Yang , Xiaoqiong Huang , Karim Lekadir , Víctor Campello , Nishant Ravikumar , Alejandro F Frangi , Dong Ni

It has been shown that instead of learning actual object features, deep networks tend to exploit non-robust (spurious) discriminative features that are shared between training and test sets. Therefore, while they achieve state of the art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Devansh Arpit , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher

We focus on the problem of domain adaptation when the goal is shifting the model towards the target distribution, rather than learning domain invariant representations. It has been shown that under the following two assumptions: (a) access…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Samira Abnar , Rianne van den Berg , Golnaz Ghiasi , Mostafa Dehghani , Nal Kalchbrenner , Hanie Sedghi

Uncertainty quantification is essential for the reliable deployment of machine learning models to high-stakes application domains. Uncertainty quantification is all the more challenging when training distribution and test distribution are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Yaodong Yu , Stephen Bates , Yi Ma , Michael I. Jordan

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Recently deep neural networks have been successfully used for various classification tasks, especially for problems with massive perfectly labeled training data. However, it is often costly to have large-scale credible labels in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Mingxiao An , Yongzhou Chen , Qi Liu , Chuanren Liu , Guangyi Lv , Fangzhao Wu , Jianhui Ma

The discrepancy between in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) samples can lead to \textit{distributional vulnerability} in deep neural networks, which can subsequently lead to high-confidence predictions for OOD samples. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Zhilin Zhao , Longbing Cao , Kun-Yu Lin