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In this work, the spread of crime dynamics in the US is analyzed from a mathematical scope, an epidemiological model is established, including five compartments: Susceptible (S), Latent 1 (E1), Latent 2 (E2), Incarcerated (I), and Recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 Michael Aguadze , Ana Vivas , Sujan Pant , Kubilay Dagtoros

This paper studies a novel stochastic compartmental model that describes the dynamics of trust in society. The population is split into three compartments representing levels of trust in society: trusters, skeptics and doubters. The focus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-20 Benedikt Valentin Meylahn , Koen De Turck , Michel Mandjes

Many online platforms have deployed anti-fraud systems to detect and prevent fraudulent activities. However, there is usually a gap between the time that a user commits a fraudulent action and the time that the user is suspended by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-15 Panpan Zheng , Shuhan Yuan , Xintao Wu

Crime remains one of the significant problems that countries are grappling with globally. With shrinking economies and increasing poverty, crime has been on the rise in many countries. In this paper, we propose a system of non-linear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Zeray H. Gebrezabher , Deniz Eroglu

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

Statistical node clustering in discrete time dynamic networks is an emerging field that raises many challenges. Here, we explore statistical properties and frequentist inference in a model that combines a stochastic block model (SBM) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Catherine Matias , Vincent Miele

Phone scams remain a difficult problem to tackle due to the combination of protocol limitations, legal enforcement challenges and advances in technology enabling attackers to hide their identities and reduce costs. Scammers use social…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Ian Wood , Michal Kepkowski , Leron Zinatullin , Travis Darnley , Mohamed Ali Kaafar

Conversational scams, such as romance and investment scams, are emerging as a major form of online fraud. Unlike one-shot scam lures such as fake lottery or unpaid toll messages, they unfold through multi-turn conversations in which…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Weixiang Sun , Shang Ma , Yiyang Li , Tianyi Ma , Zehong Wang , Colby Nelson , Xusheng Xiao , Yanfang Ye

While E-commerce has been growing explosively and online shopping has become popular and even dominant in the present era, online transaction fraud control has drawn considerable attention in business practice and academic research.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Junxuan Li , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri

Online romance scams are a prevalent form of mass-marketing fraud in the West, and yet few studies have addressed the technical or data-driven responses to this problem. In this type of scam, fraudsters craft fake profiles and manually…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Guillermo Suarez-Tangil , Matthew Edwards , Claudia Peersman , Gianluca Stringhini , Awais Rashid , Monica Whitty

Malware attacks in today's vast digital ecosystem pose a serious threat. Understanding malware propagation dynamics and designing effective control strategies are therefore essential. In this work, we propose a generic SEIRV model…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Samiran Ghosh , V Anil Kumar

In this paper, we present a mathematical model to describe the temporal evolution of delinquent behavior, treating it as a socially transmitted phenomenon influenced by peer interactions, thus similar to an epidemic. We consider a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-26 Alessandro Ramponi , M. Elisabetta Tessitore

Statistical model checking is a class of sequential algorithms that can verify specifications of interest on an ensemble of cyber-physical systems (e.g., whether 99% of cars from a batch meet a requirement on their energy efficiency). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Yu Wang , Hussein Sibai , Mark Yen , Sayan Mitra , Geir E. Dullerud

A broad class of systems, including ecological, epidemiological, and sociological ones, are characterized by populations of individuals assigned to specific categories, e.g., a chemical species, an opinion or an epidemic state, that are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-17 Giorgio Vittorio Visco , Johannes Nauta , Tomas Scagliarini , Oriol Artime , Manlio De Domenico

Our study is devoted to a four-compartment epidemic model of a constant population of independent random walkers. Each walker is in one of four compartments (S-susceptible, C-infected but not infectious (period of incubation), I-infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-29 Teo Granger , Thomas Michelitsch , Bernard Collet , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro Riascos

eCommerce transaction frauds keep changing rapidly. This is the major issue that prevents eCommerce merchants having a robust machine learning model for fraudulent transactions detection. The root cause of this problem is that rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 Huiying Mao , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Jay Nanduri

In our more and more interconnected world, a specific risk is that of a cyber-epidemic (or cyber-pandemic), produced either accidentally or intentionally, where a cyber virus propagates from device to device up to undermining the global…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-07-13 D. Aleja , G. Contreras-Aso , K. Alfaro-Bittner , E. Primo , R. Criado , M. Romance , S. Boccaletti

Crime is one of the greatest threats to urban security. Around 80 percent of the world's population lives in countries with high levels of criminality. Most of the crimes committed in the cities take place in their urban environments. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Juan Palma-Borda , Eduardo Guzmán , María-Victoria Belmonte

Longer-running scams, such as romance fraud and "pig-butchering" scams, exploit not only victims' emotions but also the design of digital platforms. Scammers commonly leverage features such as professional-looking profile verification,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Jingjia Xiao , Qing Xiao , Hong Shen

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller
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