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Related papers: Risky Advice and Reputational Bias

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An expert tells an advisee whether to take an action that may be good or bad. He may provide a condition under which to take the action. This condition predicts whether the action is good if and only if the expert is competent. Providing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-26 Benjamin Davies

Reputation is crucial to enabling human or software agents to select among alternative providers. Although several effective reputation assessment methods exist, they typically distil reputation into a numerical representation, with no…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Ingrid Nunes , Phillip Taylor , Lina Barakat , Nathan Griffiths , Simon Miles

An expert seller chooses an experiment to influence a client's purchasing decision, but may manipulate the experiment result for personal gain. When credibility surpasses a critical threshold, the expert chooses a fully-revealing experiment…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-17 Xiaoxiao Hu , Haoran Lei

We study reputation formation where a long-run player repeatedly observes private signals and takes actions. Short-run players observe the long-run player's past actions but not her past signals. The long-run player can thus develop a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-22 Daniel Luo , Alexander Wolitzky

Positive feedback trading, which buys when prices rise and sells when prices fall, has long been criticized for being destabilizing as it moves prices away from the fundamentals. Motivated by the relationship between positive feedback…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-25 Aihua Li

An informed Advisor and an uninformed Decision-Maker, with conflicting interests, engage in repeated cheap talk communication in always new decision problems. While the Decision-Maker's optimal payoff is attainable in some subgame-perfect…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Steven Kivinen , Christoph Kuzmics

We study investor learning and information acquisition in private markets using a large dataset of expert network calls. We develop a sequential Large Language Model (LLM)-Bayesian framework that treats expert interactions as sequential…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Yidong Chai , Yanguang Liu , Xuan Tian , Jiaheng Xie , Yonghang Zhou

We study the behavior of for-profit institutions that broadcast reputations to foster trust among market participants. We develop a theoretical model in which buyers and sellers are matched on a platform to engage in transactions involving…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Hiroaki Chiba-Okabe , Joshua B. Plotkin

In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding performatively stable models, which are the fixed points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 John Miller , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic

Incorporation of expert information in inference or decision settings is often important, especially in cases where data are unavailable, costly or unreliable. One approach is to elicit prior quantiles from an expert and then to fit these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Nicholas M. Kiefer

A good group reputation often facilitates more efficient synergistic teamwork in production activities. Here we translate this simple motivation into a reputation-based synergy and discounting mechanism in the public goods game.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-09 Wenqiang Zhu , Xin Wang , Chaoqian Wang , Longzhao Liu , Hongwei Zheng , Shaoting Tang

Automated investment managers, or robo-advisors, have emerged as an alternative to traditional financial advisors. The viability of robo-advisors crucially depends on their ability to offer personalized financial advice. We introduce a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-25 Agostino Capponi , Sveinn Olafsson , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

We study sequential social learning with endogenous information acquisition when agents have a taste for nonconformity. Each agent observes predecessors' actions, chooses whether to acquire a private signal (and its precision), and then…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Georgy Lukyanov , Vasilii Ivanik

We develop an averaging approach to robust risk measurement under payoff uncertainty. Instead of taking a worst-case value over an uncertainty neighborhood, we weight nearby payoffs more heavily under a chosen metric and average the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Marcelo Righi , Rodrigo Targino

Explainable Recommendation has been gaining attention over the last few years in industry and academia. Explanations provided along with recommendations in a recommender system framework have many uses: particularly reasoning why a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Sairamvinay Vijayaraghavan , Prasant Mohapatra

We study a dynamic labor market in which a risk-averse worker with career concerns chooses each period between self-employment, which generates publicly observed binary output, and employment at a firm, which pays a flat wage but keeps…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Georgy Lukyanov , Konstantin Popov , Shubh Lashkery

We examine how career concerns influence the behavior and mobility of financial advisers. Drawing on a uniquely comprehensive matched panel that combines employer-employee data with a longstanding national ranking, our study tests…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Jun Honda

For product rating environments, similar to that of Amazon Reviews, it has been shown that the truthful elicitation of feedback is possible through mechanisms which pay buyer reports contingent on the reports of other buyers. We study…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Jens Witkowski

This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-14 Si Chen

In credence goods markets such as health care or repair services, consumers rely on experts with superior information to adequately diagnose and treat them. Experts, however, are constrained in their diagnostic abilities, which hurts market…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-28 Alexander Erlei , Lukas Meub