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Decision making under uncertainty often requires choosing packages, or bags of tuples, that collectively optimize expected outcomes while limiting risks. Processing Stochastic Package Queries (SPQs) involves solving very large optimization…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Riddho R. Haque , Anh L. Mai , Matteo Brucato , Azza Abouzied , Peter J. Haas , Alexandra Meliou

A Stochastic Control Problem can be solved by Dynamic Programming or Distributed Optimal Control with the Kolmogorov equation for the probability density of the Markov process of the problem. It can be solved also with Supervised Learning.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Olivier Pironneau

We study an industrial computer code related to nuclear safety. A major topic of interest is to assess the uncertainties tainting the results of a computer simulation. In this work we gain robustness on the quantification of a risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

Scenario tree reduction techniques are essential for achieving a balance between an accurate representation of uncertainties and computational complexity when solving multistage stochastic programming problems. In the realm of available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-25 Daniel Mimouni , Paul Malisani , Jiamin Zhu , Welington de Oliveira

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

Efficient and effective modeling of complex systems, incorporating cloud physics and precipitation, is essential for accurate climate modeling and forecasting. However, simulating these systems is computationally demanding since…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-31 Nan Chen , Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Yeyu Zhang

We present an algorithm for the simulation of the exact real-time dynamics of classical many-body systems with discrete energy levels. In the same spirit of kinetic Monte Carlo methods, a stochastic solution of the master equation is found,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-20 Alejandro Mendoza-Coto , Rogelio Díaz-Méndez , Guido Pupillo

We present a modern stochastic control framework for dynamic optimization of river environment and ecology. We focus on a fisheries problem in Japan, and show several examples of simplified optimal control problems of stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Hidekazu Yoshioka

Stochastic equations play an important role in computational science, due to their ability to treat a wide variety of complex statistical problems. However, current algorithms are strongly limited by their sampling variance, which scales…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Bogdan Opanchuk , Simon Kiesewetter , Peter D. Drummond

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the Fr\'echet distribution from both frequentist and Bayesian points of view. First we briefly describe different frequentist approaches, namely, maximum likelihood,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pedro Luiz Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Eduardo Ramos , Sanku Dey

In this paper, probabilistic guarantees for constraint sampling of multistage robust convex optimization problems are derived. The dynamic nature of these problems is tackled via the so-called scenario-with-certificates approach. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Francesca Maggioni , Marida Bertocchi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

Stochastic versions of recursive integrated climate-economy assessment models are essential for studying and quantifying policy decisions under uncertainty. However, as the number of state variables and stochastic shocks increases, solving…

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

We consider the problem of repetitive scenario design where one has to solve repeatedly a scenario design problem and can adjust the sample size (number of scenarios) to obtain a desired level of risk (constraint violation probability). We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

For a timely decarbonization of our economy, power systems need to accommodate increasing numbers of clean but stochastic resources. This requires new operational methods that internalize this stochasticity to ensure safety and efficiency.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Robert Mieth , H. Vincent Poor

Regional flood frequency analysis is a convenient way to reduce estimation uncertainty when few data are available at the gauging site. In this work, a model that allows a non-null probability to a regional fixed shape parameter is…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-05 Mathieu Ribatet , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

Quantization has proven effective in high-resolution and large-scale simulations, which benefit from bit-level memory saving. However, identifying a quantization scheme that meets the requirement of both precision and memory efficiency…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Jiafeng Liu , Haoyang Shi , Siyuan Zhang , Yin Yang , Chongyang Ma , Weiwei Xu

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

In this study, we consider two classes of multicriteria two-stage stochastic programs in finite probability spaces with multivariate risk constraints. The first-stage problem features a multivariate stochastic benchmarking constraint based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Nilay Noyan , Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz
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