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The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

How do inter-organizational networks emerge? Accounting for interdependence among ties while studying tie formation is one of the key challenges in this area of research. We address this challenge using an equilibrium framework where firms'…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-04 Shweta Gaonkar , Angelo Mele

This study investigates the resilience of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investments during periods of financial instability, comparing them with traditional equity indices across major European markets-Germany, France, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Barbara Iannone , Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone

Inconsistent calculation of grid emission factors (EF) can result in widely divergent corporate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reports. We dissect this issue through a comprehensive literature review, identifying nine key aspects - each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-15 Malte Schäfer , Felipe Cerdas , Christoph Herrmann

Foundation models (FMs) for the Earth system learn statistical relationships between physical variables across massive datasets to enable versatile downstream applications through finetuning, separating them from task-specific weather…

This article addresses the problem of formulating efficient and reliable operational preservation policies that ensure bit-level information integrity over long periods, and in the presence of a diverse range of real-world technical, legal,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Micah Altman , Richard Landau

As interconnected systems proliferate, safeguarding complex infrastructures against an escalating array of cyber threats has become an urgent challenge. The increasing number of vulnerabilities, combined with resource constraints, makes…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yuning Jiang , Nay Oo , Qiaoran Meng , Hoon Wei Lim , Biplab Sikdar

Data scarcity and confidentiality in finance often impede model development and robust testing. This paper presents a unified multi-criteria evaluation framework for synthetic financial data and applies it to three representative generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Christophe D. Hounwanou , Yae Ulrich Gaba , Pierre Ntakirutimana

Vector autoregressions (VARs) with multivariate stochastic volatility are widely used for structural analysis. Often the structural model identified through economically meaningful restrictions--e.g., sign restrictions--is supposed to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-11 Joshua Chan , Eric Eisenstat , Xuewen Yu

We consider structural vector autoregressions that are identified through stochastic volatility under Bayesian estimation. Three contributions emerge from our exercise. First, we show that a non-centred parameterization of stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-15 Helmut Lütkepohl , Fei Shang , Luis Uzeda , Tomasz Woźniak

Measuring the effectiveness of corporate environmental reports, it being highly qualitative and less regulated, is often considered as a daunting task. The task becomes more complex if comparisons are to be performed. This study is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-10-16 J. R. Modapothala , B. Issac

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a widely used instrument in financial risk management. The question of estimating the VaR of loss return distributions at extreme levels is an important question in financial applications, both from operational…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-21 Hibiki Kaibuchi , Yoshinori Kawasaki , Gilles Stupfler

Extracted event data from information systems often contain a variety of process executions making the data complex and difficult to comprehend. Unlike current research which only identifies the variability over time, we focus on other…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ali Norouzifar , Majid Rafiei , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

Synthetic financial data provides a practical solution to the privacy, accessibility, and reproducibility challenges that often constrain empirical research in quantitative finance. This paper investigates the use of deep generative models,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Christophe D. Hounwanou , Yae Ulrich Gaba

We present a computational method for measuring financial risk by estimating the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall from financial series. We have made two assumptions: First, that the predictive distributions of the values of an asset…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 I. Garcia , J. Jimenez

We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-07 Nassim N. Taleb , Raphael Douady

The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

In risk management it is desirable to grasp the essential statistical features of a time series representing a risk factor. This tutorial aims to introduce a number of different stochastic processes that can help in grasping the essential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Antonio Dalessandro , Matthias Neugebauer , Fares Triki

In financial risk management, Value at Risk (VaR) is widely used to estimate potential portfolio losses. VaR's limitation is its inability to account for the magnitude of losses beyond a certain threshold. Expected Shortfall (ES) addresses…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 Federico Gatta , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

Various spatiotemporal and network GARCH models have recently been proposed to capture volatility interactions, such as the transmission of market risk across financial networks. These approaches rely heavily on the specification of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ariane N. Meli Chrisko , Jessie Li , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid
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