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This paper is to explore the possibility to use alternative data and artificial intelligence techniques to trade stocks. The efficacy of the daily Twitter sentiment on predicting the stock return is examined using machine learning methods.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-09 Catherine Xiao , Wanfeng Chen

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

Stock trading strategies play a critical role in investment. However, it is challenging to design a profitable strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market. In this paper, we propose an ensemble strategy that employs deep reinforcement…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Shan Zhong , Anwar Walid

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-20 Guosheng Hu , Yuxin Hu , Kai Yang , Zehao Yu , Flood Sung , Zhihong Zhang , Fei Xie , Jianguo Liu , Neil Robertson , Timothy Hospedales , Qiangwei Miemie

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Weighting strategy prevails in machine learning. For example, a common approach in robust machine learning is to exert lower weights on samples which are likely to be noisy or quite hard. This study reveals another undiscovered strategy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Rujing Yao , Ou Wu

Stock price prediction is a critical area of financial forecasting, traditionally approached by training models using the historical price data of individual stocks. While these models effectively capture single-stock patterns, they fail to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Yi Hu , Hanchi Ren , Jingjing Deng , Xianghua Xie

The success of a cross-sectional systematic strategy depends critically on accurately ranking assets prior to portfolio construction. Contemporary techniques perform this ranking step either with simple heuristics or by sorting outputs from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Daniel Poh , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Deep multi-task networks are of particular interest for autonomous driving systems. They can potentially strike an excellent trade-off between predictive performance, hardware constraints and efficient use of information from multiple types…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Isabelle Leang , Ganesh Sistu , Fabian Burger , Andrei Bursuc , Senthil Yogamani

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann

Multiple query criteria active learning (MQCAL) methods have a higher potential performance than conventional active learning methods in which only one criterion is deployed for sample selection. A central issue related to MQCAL methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-28 Yu Zhao , Zhenhui Shi , Jingyang Zhang , Dong Chen , Lixu Gu

For many types of machine learning algorithms, one can compute the statistically `optimal' way to select training data. In this paper, we review how optimal data selection techniques have been used with feedforward neural networks. We then…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 D. A. Cohn , Z. Ghahramani , M. I. Jordan

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

Double machine learning is a statistical method for leveraging complex black-box models to construct approximately unbiased treatment effect estimates given observational data with high-dimensional covariates, under the assumption of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-03 Nitai Fingerhut , Matteo Sesia , Yaniv Romano

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Recent researches on stock prediction using deep learning methods has been actively studied. This is the task to predict the movement of stock prices in the future based on historical trends. The approach to predicting the movement based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Jaeyoung Cheong , Heejoon Lee , Minjung Kang

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao