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Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

Large Transformer models routinely achieve state-of-the-art results on a number of tasks but training these models can be prohibitively costly, especially on long sequences. We introduce two techniques to improve the efficiency of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Nikita Kitaev , Łukasz Kaiser , Anselm Levskaya

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

While Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in generalized forecasting, their performance often degrades significantly when deployed in real-world vertical domains characterized by temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Xiaoyun Yu , Li fan , Xiangfei Qiu , Nanqing Dong , Yonggui Huang , Honggang Qi , Geguang Pu , Wanli Ouyang , Xi Chen , Jilin Hu

We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Recurrent neural networks are effective models to process sequences. However, they are unable to learn long-term dependencies because of their inherent sequential nature. As a solution, Vaswani et al. introduced the Transformer, a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Quentin Fournier , Gaétan Marceau Caron , Daniel Aloise

Transformer-based architectures achieved high performance in natural language processing and computer vision, yet many studies have shown that they have not demonstrated a clear advantage in time series forecasting and even underperform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Zida Liang , Jiayi Zhu , Weiqiang Sun

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

State-of-the-art Transformer-based models, with gigantic parameters, are difficult to be accommodated on resource constrained embedded devices. Moreover, with the development of technology, more and more embedded devices are available to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Panjie Qi , Edwin Hsing-Mean Sha , Qingfeng Zhuge , Hongwu Peng , Shaoyi Huang , Zhenglun Kong , Yuhong Song , Bingbing Li

Recurrent neural networks have a strong inductive bias towards learning temporally compressed representations, as the entire history of a sequence is represented by a single vector. By contrast, Transformers have little inductive bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Aniket Didolkar , Kshitij Gupta , Anirudh Goyal , Nitesh B. Gundavarapu , Alex Lamb , Nan Rosemary Ke , Yoshua Bengio

Despite advances in the Transformer architecture, their effectiveness for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) remains controversial. In this paper, we investigate the potential of integrating explicit periodicity modeling into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tian Sun , Yuqi Chen , Weiwei Sun

Time series data is ubiquitous in research as well as in a wide variety of industrial applications. Effectively analyzing the available historical data and providing insights into the far future allows us to make effective decisions. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Kiran Madhusudhanan , Johannes Burchert , Nghia Duong-Trung , Stefan Born , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook high-frequency features, showing a frequency bias.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Taichi Murayama , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Tasks in which rewards depend upon past information not available in the current observation set can only be solved by agents that are equipped with short-term memory. Usual choices for memory modules include trainable recurrent hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Kevin McKee

Deep learning is playing an increasingly important role in time series analysis. We focused on time series forecasting using attention free mechanism, a more efficient framework, and proposed a new architecture for time series prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Hugo Inzirillo , Ludovic De Villelongue

In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

End-to-end model, especially Recurrent Neural Network Transducer (RNN-T), has achieved great success in speech recognition. However, transducer requires a great memory footprint and computing time when processing a long decoding sequence.…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xiaohui Zhang , Mangui Liang , Zhengkun Tian , Jiangyan Yi , Jianhua Tao

Time series prediction is a prevalent issue across various disciplines, such as meteorology, traffic surveillance, investment, and energy production and consumption. Many statistical and machine-learning strategies have been developed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Wei Wang , Yang Liu , Hao Sun
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