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This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. By assuming the data generating process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yousef El-Laham , Niccolò Dalmasso , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Accurate EV power estimation underpins range prediction and energy management, yet practitioners need both point accuracy and trustworthy uncertainty. We propose an anchored-ensemble Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with a Student-t likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ghazal Farhani , Taufiq Rahman , Kieran Humphries

Large language models (LLMs) are often ensembled together to improve overall reliability and robustness, but in practice models are strongly correlated. This raises a fundamental question: which models should be selected when forming an LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yigit Turkmen , Baturalp Buyukates , Melih Bastopcu

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

Sparse representations with learned dictionaries have been successful in several image analysis applications. In this paper, we propose and analyze the framework of ensemble sparse models, and demonstrate their utility in image restoration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Prasanna Sattigeri , Andreas Spanias

As a common method in Machine Learning, Ensemble Method is used to train multiple models from a data set and obtain better results through certain combination strategies. Stacking method, as representatives of Ensemble Learning methods, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Jiacheng Ruan , Jiahao Li

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

In this thesis we discuss machine learning methods performing automated variable selection for learning sparse predictive models. There are multiple reasons for promoting sparsity in the predictive models. By relying on a limited set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Magda Gregorova

Multi-task learning models using Gaussian processes (GP) have been developed and successfully applied in various applications. The main difficulty with this approach is the computational cost of inference using the union of examples from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-29 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon

Ensemble Machine Learning (EML) techniques, especially stacking, have been shown to improve predictive performance by combining multiple base models. However, they are often criticized for their lack of interpretability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Moncef Garouani , Ayah Barhrhouj , Olivier Teste

Ensemble Learning methods combine multiple algorithms performing the same task to build a group with superior quality. These systems are well adapted to the distributed setup, where each peer or machine of the network hosts one algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Gaëlle Candel , David Naccache

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) do not adapt well to curved and strongly nonlinear data. However, we can use Gaussians in the curvilinear coordinate systems to solve this problem. Moreover, such a solution allows for the adaptation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Krzysztof Byrski , Przemysław Spurek , Jacek Tabor

Ensemble models often achieve higher accuracy than single learners, but their ability to maintain small generalization gaps is not always well understood. This study examines how ensembles balance accuracy and overfitting across four…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Zubair Ahmed Mohammad

Distributed machine learning (ML) is a modern computation paradigm that divides its workload into independent tasks that can be simultaneously achieved by multiple machines (i.e., agents) for better scalability. However, a typical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Trong Nghia Hoang , Quang Minh Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Jonathan How

A general framework for solving image inverse problems is introduced in this paper. The approach is based on Gaussian mixture models, estimated via a computationally efficient MAP-EM algorithm. A dual mathematical interpretation of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2010-06-16 Guoshen Yu , Guillermo Sapiro , Stéphane Mallat

We propose a new approach for metric learning by framing it as learning a sparse combination of locally discriminative metrics that are inexpensive to generate from the training data. This flexible framework allows us to naturally derive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Yuan Shi , Aurélien Bellet , Fei Sha