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This paper develops methods for numerically solving stochastic delay-differential equations (SDDEs) with multiple fixed delays that do not align with a uniform time mesh. We focus on numerical schemes of strong convergence orders $1/2$ and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Mitchell T. Griggs , Kevin Burrage , Pamela M. Burrage

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

We propose a neural network based approach for extracting models from dynamic data using ordinary and partial differential equations. In particular, given a time-series or spatio-temporal dataset, we seek to identify an accurate governing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Yifan Sun , Linan Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) use a neural network to model the instantaneous rate of change in the state of a system. However, despite their apparent suitability for dynamics-governed time-series, NODEs present a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Recent advances in learning dynamical systems from data have shown significant promise. However, many existing methods assume access to the full state of the system -- an assumption that is rarely satisfied in practice, where systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

We present a novel model Graph Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (Graph Neural SDEs). This technique enhances the Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Graph Neural ODEs) by embedding randomness into data representation using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Richard Bergna , Felix Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato

Astronomical surveys of celestial sources produce streams of noisy time series measuring flux versus time ("light curves"). Unlike in many other physical domains, however, large (and source-specific) temporal gaps in data arise naturally…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-30 Brett Naul , Joshua S. Bloom , Fernando Pérez , Stéfan van der Walt

We propose a unified framework for delay differential equations (DDEs) based on deep neural networks (DNNs) - the neural delay differential equations (NDDEs), aimed at solving the forward and inverse problems of delay differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Housen Wang , Yuxing Chen , Sirong Cao , Xiaoli Wang , Qiang Liu

This study examines the challenges of modeling complex and noisy data related to socioeconomic factors over time, with a focus on data from various districts in Odisha, India. Traditional time-series models struggle to capture both trends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Reema Gupta , Snehashish Chakraverty

A novel way of using neural networks to learn the dynamics of time delay systems from sequential data is proposed. A neural network with trainable delays is used to approximate the right hand side of a delay differential equation. We relate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Xunbi A. Ji , Gabor Orosz

Mechanical devices such as engines, vehicles, aircrafts, etc., are typically instrumented with numerous sensors to capture the behavior and health of the machine. However, there are often external factors or variables which are not captured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Pankaj Malhotra , Anusha Ramakrishnan , Gaurangi Anand , Lovekesh Vig , Puneet Agarwal , Gautam Shroff

Irregularly sampled time series data arise naturally in many application domains including biology, ecology, climate science, astronomy, and health. Such data represent fundamental challenges to many classical models from machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Longitudinal analysis in medical imaging is crucial to investigate the progressive changes in anatomical structures or disease progression over time. In recent years, a novel class of algorithms has emerged with the goal of learning disease…

Longitudinal neuroimaging is essential for modeling disease progression in Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet irregular sampling and missing visits pose substantial challenges for learning reliable temporal representations. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ruiying Chen , Yutong Wang , Houliang Zhou , Wei Liang , Yong Chen , Lifang He

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

We present a method for learning latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from high-dimensional time series data. Given a high-dimensional time series generated from a lower dimensional latent unknown It\^o process, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Ali Hasan , João M. Pereira , Sina Farsiu , Vahid Tarokh

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

Modeling the evolution of system with time-series data is a challenging and critical task in a wide range of fields, especially when the time-series data is regularly sampled and partially observable. Some methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are used to describe a wide variety of complex stochastic dynamical systems. Learning the hidden physics within SDEs is crucial for unraveling fundamental understanding of these systems' stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Jared O'Leary , Joel A. Paulson , Ali Mesbah

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen