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Complex systems are often driven by higher-order interactions among multiple units, naturally represented as hypergraphs. Understanding dependency structures within these hypergraphs is crucial for understanding and predicting the behavior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-29 John Hood , Caterina De Bacco , Aaron Schein

We generalize the stochastic block model to the important case in which edges are annotated with weights drawn from an exponential family distribution. This generalization introduces several technical difficulties for model estimation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-27 Christopher Aicher , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Aaron Clauset

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

Bayesian hierarchical models with latent Gaussian layers have proven very flexible in capturing complex stochastic behavior and hierarchical structures in high-dimensional spatial and spatio-temporal data. Whereas simulation-based Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Thomas Opitz

Generative network models are extremely useful for understanding the mechanisms that operate in network formation and are widely used across several areas of knowledge. However, when it comes to bipartite networks -- a class of network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-29 Demival Vasques Filho , Dion R. J. O'Neale

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

The focus of this work is on developing probabilistic models for user activity in social networks by incorporating the social network influence as perceived by the user. For this, we propose a coupled Hidden Markov Model, where each user's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Vasanthan Raghavan , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Modelling multiple network data is crucial for addressing a wide range of applied research questions. However, there are many challenges, both theoretical and computational, to address. Network cycles are often of particular interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-12 Anastasia Mantziou , Sally Keith , David M. P. Jacoby , Simon Lunagomez , Robin Mitra

Social influence, sometimes referred to as spillover or contagion, have been extensively studied in various empirical social network research. However, there are various estimation challenges in identifying social influence effects, as they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Ran Xu

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

This paper studies estimation and inference of heterogeneous peer effects featuring group fixed effects and slope heterogeneity under latent structure. We adapt the Classifier-Lasso algorithm to consistently discover latent structures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Zhongjian Lin , Zhentao Shi , Yapeng Zheng

We propose a novel dynamic network model to capture evolving latent communities within temporal networks. To achieve this, we decompose each observed dynamic edge between vertices using a Poisson-gamma edge partition model, assigning each…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Xincan Yu , Sikun Yang

We consider Bayesian analysis on high-dimensional spheres with angular central Gaussian priors. These priors model antipodally symmetric directional data, are easily defined in Hilbert spaces and occur, for instance, in Bayesian binary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 H. C. Lie , D. Rudolf , B. Sprungk , T. J. Sullivan

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

Hierarchical Bayesian networks and neural networks with stochastic hidden units are commonly perceived as two separate types of models. We show that either of these types of models can often be transformed into an instance of the other, by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

Network data is ubiquitous in various scientific disciplines, including sociology, economics, and neuroscience. Latent space models are often employed in network data analysis, but the geometric effect of latent space curvature remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Jinming Li , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Social influence cannot be identified from purely observational data on social networks, because such influence is generically confounded with latent homophily, i.e., with a node's network partners being informative about the node's…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Edward McFowland , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi