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We devise a distributional variant of gradient temporal-difference (TD) learning. Distributional reinforcement learning has been demonstrated to outperform the regular one in the recent study \citep{bellemare2017distributional}. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Chao Qu , Shie Mannor , Huan Xu

This paper is considered with joint estimation of state and time-varying noise covariance matrices in non-linear stochastic state space models. We present a variational Bayes and Gaussian filtering based algorithm for efficient computation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Simo Särkkä Jouni Hartikainen

Nonlinear stochastic motion presents significant challenges for Bayesian particle tracking. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a framework to construct an invertible transformation that maps the nonlinear state-space model (SSM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Yonatan L. Ashenafi

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

The paper studies the optimal density steering problem for nonlinear continuous-time stochastic systems. To accurately capture nonlinear dynamics in high-uncertainty regions that deviate significantly from a nominal linearization point, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Mattia Mosso , George Rapakoulias , Yue Guan , Panagiotis Tsiotras

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-21 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

A state-space model is a statistical framework for inferring latent states from observed time-series data. However, inference with nonlinear and high-dimensional state-space models remains challenging. To this end, an approach based on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Yuma Yamaoka , Seiichi Uchida , Shoji Toyota

In stationary subspace analysis (SSA) one assumes that the observable p-variate time series is a linear mixture of a k-variate nonstationary time series and a (p-k)-variate stationary time series. The aim is then to estimate the unmixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Lea Flumian , Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen

Stochastic differential equations are an important modeling class in many disciplines. Consequently, there exist many methods relying on various discretization and numerical integration schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Gabriele Abbati , Philippe Wenk , Michael A Osborne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

Robust time series analysis is an important subject in statistical modeling. Models based on Gaussian distribution are sensitive to outliers, which may imply in a significant degradation in estimation performance as well as in prediction…

We consider the problem of learning time-varying functions in a distributed fashion, where agents collect local information to collaboratively achieve a shared estimate. This task is particularly relevant in control applications, whenever…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Nicola Taddei , Riccardo Maggioni , Jaap Eising , Giulia De Pasquale , Florian Dorfler

Gaussian mixtures are a common density representation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. Selecting an appropriate number of Gaussian components, however, is difficult as one has to trade of computational complexity…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-02 Marco F. Huber

Surrogate models have shown to be an extremely efficient aid in solving engineering problems that require repeated evaluations of an expensive computational model. They are built by sparsely evaluating the costly original model and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-01 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

Normal priors with unknown variance (NUV) have long been known to promote sparsity and to blend well with parameter learning by expectation maximization (EM). In this paper, we advocate this approach for linear state space models for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-10 Hans-Andrea Loeliger , Lukas Bruderer , Hampus Malmberg , Federico Wadehn , Nour Zalmai

We present a randomized Kaczmarz method for linear discriminant analysis (rkLDA), an iterative randomized approach to binary-class Gaussian model linear discriminant analysis (LDA) for very large data. We harness a least squares formulation…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-09 Jocelyn T. Chi , Deanna Needell

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…