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Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

The MRI-derived brain network serves as a pivotal instrument in elucidating both the structural and functional aspects of the brain, encompassing the ramifications of diseases and developmental processes. However, prevailing methodologies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Haoteng Tang , Guodong Liu , Siyuan Dai , Kai Ye , Kun Zhao , Wenlu Wang , Carl Yang , Lifang He , Alex Leow , Paul Thompson , Heng Huang , Liang Zhan

Simulation-based inference with neural posterior estimation (NPE) often yields overconfident and unreliable posteriors under limited simulation budgets. To address this, we propose DRO-NPE, a distributionally robust approach that replaces…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 William Laplante , Yuga Hikida , Charita Dellaporta , François-Xavier Briol , Ayush Bharti

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

Inferring the parameters of a stochastic model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method. A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e. when distinct sets of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Thomas Moreau , Gilles Louppe , Alexandre Gramfort

Sim-to-real discrepancies hinder learning-based policies from achieving high-precision tasks in the real world. While Domain Randomization (DR) is commonly used to bridge this gap, it often relies on heuristics and can lead to overly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Nikhil Sobanbabu , Guanqi He , Tairan He , Yuxiang Yang , Guanya Shi

Due to the difficulty in obtaining real samples and ground truth, the generalization performance and domain adaptation performance are critical for the feasibility of stereo matching methods in practical applications. However, there are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Weiqing Xiao , Wei Zhao

We propose a new framework for the analysis of current and future cosmological surveys, which combines perturbative methods (PT) on large scales with conditional simulation-based implicit inference (SBI) on small scales. This enables…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-20 Chirag Modi , Oliver H. E. Philcox

We introduce Sequential Neural Posterior Score Estimation (SNPSE), a score-based method for Bayesian inference in simulator-based models. Our method, inspired by the remarkable success of score-based methods in generative modelling,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Louis Sharrock , Jack Simons , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

Suppose we wish to predict the behaviour of a physical system. We may choose to represent the system by model structure $S$ (a set of related mathematical models defined by parametric relationships between system variables), and a parameter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-22 Jason M. Whyte

The accurate and efficient simulation of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) in and around arbitrarily defined geometries is critical for many application domains. Immersed boundary methods (IBMs) alleviate the usually laborious and…

Prediction algorithms, such as deep neural networks (DNNs), are used in many domain sciences to directly estimate internal parameters of interest in simulator-based models, especially in settings where the observations include images or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Luca Masserano , Tommaso Dorigo , Rafael Izbicki , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee

Domain randomization (DR) cannot provide optimal policies for adapting the learning agent to the dynamics of the environment, although it can generalize sub-optimal policies to work in a transferred domain. In this paper, we present…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Zihan Ding

Many scientific models are composed of multiple discrete components, and scientists often make heuristic decisions about which components to include. Bayesian inference provides a mathematical framework for systematically selecting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke

This study addresses the problem of discrete signal reconstruction from the perspective of sparse Bayesian learning (SBL). Generally, it is intractable to perform the Bayesian inference with the ideal discretization prior under the SBL…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-19 Jisheng Dai , An Liu , Hing Cheung So

Standard cosmological analysis, which relies on two-point statistics, fails to extract the full information of the data. This limits our ability to constrain with precision cosmological parameters. Thus, recent years have seen a paradigm…

Strong inductive biases enable learning from little data and help generalization outside of the training distribution. Popular neural architectures such as Transformers lack strong structural inductive biases for seq2seq NLP tasks on their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Matthias Lindemann , Alexander Koller , Ivan Titov

Despite the promise of Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) methods in astronomy, the adaptation of NPE into the routine inference workflow has been slow. We identify three critical issues: the need for custom featurizer networks tailored to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-25 Keming Zhang , Joshua S. Bloom , Stéfan van der Walt , Nina Hernitschek

Transformers exhibit proficiency in capturing long-range dependencies, whereas State Space Models (SSMs) facilitate linear-time sequence modeling. Notwithstanding their synergistic potential, the integration of these architectures presents…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Bingheng Wu , Jingze Shi , Yifan Wu , Nan Tang , Yuyu Luo