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Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

Implementing insect monitoring systems provides an excellent opportunity to create accurate interventions for insect control. However, selecting the appropriate time for an intervention is still an open question due to the inherent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-29 Gabriel R. Palma , Rodrigo F. Mello , Wesley A. C. Godoy , Eduardo Engel , Douglas Lau , Charles Markham , Rafael A. Moral

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

In recent years, there have been unprecedented technological advances in sensor technology, and sensors have become more affordable than ever. Thus, sensor-driven data collection is increasingly becoming an attractive and practical option…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Alireza Abdoli

Time series analysis finds wide applications in fields such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and behavior recognition. Previous methods attempted to model temporal variations directly using 1D time series. However, this has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Qiang Wu , Gechang Yao , Zhixi Feng , Shuyuan Yang

Accurate wind power forecasting can help formulate scientific dispatch plans, which is of great significance for maintaining the safety, stability, and efficient operation of the power system. In recent years, wind power forecasting methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Yajuan Zhang , Jiahai Jiang , Yule Yan , Liang Yang , Ping Zhang

This article considers to model large-dimensional matrix time series by introducing a regression term to the matrix factor model. This is an extension of classic matrix factor model to incorporate the information of known factors or useful…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Yongchang Hui , Yuteng Zhang , Siting Huang

Statistic modeling and data-driven learning are the two vital fields that attract many attentions. Statistic models intend to capture and interpret the relationships among variables, while data-based learning attempt to extract information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Jingwei Li

In the paper, we propose an adaptive data-driven model-based approach for filling the gaps in time series. The approach is based on the automated evolutionary identification of the optimal structure for a composite data-driven model. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Mikhail Sarafanov , Nikolay O. Nikitin , Anna V. Kalyuzhnaya

Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Ling Chen , Jiahua Cui

Time series are all around in real-world applications. However, unexpected accidents for example broken sensors or missing of the signals will cause missing values in time series, making the data hard to be utilized. It then does harm to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Chenguang Fang , Chen Wang

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

Time is an important feature in many applications involving events that occur synchronously and/or asynchronously. To effectively consume time information, recent studies have focused on designing new architectures. In this paper, we take…

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

Accurate time-series forecasting is vital for numerous areas of application such as transportation, energy, finance, economics, etc. However, while modern techniques are able to explore large sets of temporal data to build forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Filipe Rodrigues , Ioulia Markou , Francisco Pereira

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong