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Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Accurate and robust stock trend forecasting has been a crucial and challenging task, as stock price changes are influenced by multiple factors. Graph neural network-based methods have recently achieved remarkable success in this domain by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Yingjie Niu , Lanxin Lu , Rian Dolphin , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

Contrastive learning on graphs aims at extracting distinguishable high-level representations of nodes. In this paper, we theoretically illustrate that the entropy of a dataset can be approximated by maximizing the lower bound of the mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Yixuan Ma , Xiaolin Zhang , Peng Zhang , Kun Zhan

Real-world graphs grow rapidly with edge and vertex insertions over time, motivating the problem of efficiently maintaining robust node representation over evolving graphs. Recent efficient GNNs are designed to decouple recursive message…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Xingzhi Guo , Silong Wang , Baojian Zhou , Yanghua Xiao , Steven Skiena

Whereas traditional credit scoring tends to employ only individual borrower- or loan-level predictors, it has been acknowledged for some time that connections between borrowers may result in default risk propagating over a network. In this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sahab Zandi , Kamesh Korangi , María Óskarsdóttir , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

Representation learning models for graphs are a successful family of techniques that project nodes into feature spaces that can be exploited by other machine learning algorithms. Since many real-world networks are inherently dynamic, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Simone Piaggesi , André Panisson

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

How to hedge factor risks without knowing the identities of the factors? We first prove a general theoretical result: even if the exact set of factors cannot be identified, any risky asset can use some portfolio of similar peer assets to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-19 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

Financial fraud detection in transaction networks involves modeling sparse anomalies, dynamic patterns, and severe class imbalance in the presence of temporal drift in the data. In real-world transaction systems, a suspicious transaction is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yiming Lei , Qiannan Shen , Junhao Song

Graph neural networks have emerged as a powerful tool for learning spatiotemporal interactions. However, conventional approaches often rely on predefined graphs, which may obscure the precise relationships being modeled. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Jeehong Kim , Minchan Kim , Jaeseong Ju , Youngseok Hwang , Wonhee Lee , Hyunwoo Park

Graph self-supervised learning can reduce the need for labeled graph data and has been widely used in recommendation, social networks, and other web applications. However, existing methods often underuse high-frequency signals and may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Haojie Li , Mengjiao Zhang , Guanfeng Liu , Qiang Hu , Yan Wang , Junwei Du

Graph learning from data represents a canonical problem that has received substantial attention in the literature. However, insufficient work has been done in incorporating prior structural knowledge onto the learning of underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-23 Sandeep Kumar , Jiaxi Ying , José Vinícius de M. Cardoso , Daniel Palomar

Optimizing asset exchanges on blockchain-driven platforms poses a novel and challenging graph query optimization problem. In this model, assets represent vertices and exchanges form edges, recasting the graph query task as a routing problem…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Haotian Xu , Yuqing Zhu , Yuming Huang , Jing Tang

Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

Dynamic recommendation, focusing on modeling user preference from historical interactions and providing recommendations on current time, plays a key role in many personalized services. Recent works show that pre-trained dynamic graph neural…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zhen Tao , Yuehang Cao , Yang Fang , Yunhui Liu , Xiang Zhao , Tieke He

Counting the independent sets of a graph is a classical #P-complete problem, even in the bipartite case. We give an exponential-time approximation scheme for this problem which is faster than the best known algorithm for the exact problem.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Leslie Ann Goldberg , John Lapinskas , David Richerby

Self-supervised graph representation learning (SSGRL) is a representation learning paradigm used to reduce or avoid manual labeling. An essential part of SSGRL is graph data augmentation. Existing methods usually rely on heuristics commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ahmed E. Samy , Zekarias T. Kefatoa , Sarunas Girdzijauskasa

Most neural methods for Vehicle Routing Problems (VRPs) are limited to Euclidean settings or simple graphs. In this work, we instead consider multigraphs, where parallel edges represent distinct travel options with varying trade-offs (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Filip Rydin , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani , Balázs Kulcsár