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Conformal prediction is a popular technique for constructing prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage guarantees. The coverage is marginal, meaning it only holds on average over the entire population but not necessarily for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yao Zhang , Emmanuel J. Candès

Simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for percentiles in linear regression are valuable tools with many applications. In this paper, we propose a novel criterion for comparing SCBs for percentiles, termed the Minimum Area Confidence Set…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-15 Lingjiao Wang , Yang Han , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

In large-scale prediction problems, exhaustively following up on all test units is often impractical and inefficient, motivating a selective reporting strategy that fulfills the dual requirements of informativeness and trustworthiness.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Wangcheng Li , Guanlan Zhao , Xu Guo , Wenguang Sun

We in this paper propose a directional regression based approach for ultrahigh dimensional sufficient variable screening with censored responses. The new method is designed in a model-free manner and thus can be adapted to various complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Menghao Xu , Zhou Yu , Jun Shao

Many practical tasks involve sampling sequentially without replacement (WoR) from a finite population of size $N$, in an attempt to estimate some parameter $\theta^\star$. Accurately quantifying uncertainty throughout this process is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-11 Ian Waudby-Smith , Aaditya Ramdas

Sparse linear prediction methods suffer from decreased prediction accuracy when the predictor variables have cluster structure (e.g. there are highly correlated groups of variables). To improve prediction accuracy, various methods have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Rebecca Marion , Johannes Lederer , Bernadette Govaerts , Rainer von Sachs

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Self-consistency (SC) is a widely used test-time inference technique for improving performance in chain-of-thought reasoning. It involves generating multiple responses, or samples from a large language model (LLM) and selecting the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Austin Feng , Marius Alonso , Ambroise Odonnat

This paper studies sequential methods for recovery of sparse signals in high dimensions. When compared to fixed sample size procedures, in the sparse setting, sequential methods can result in a large reduction in the number of samples…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Matthew L. Malloy , Robert Nowak

Cognitive radio that supports a secondary and opportunistic access to licensed spectrum shows great potential to dramatically improve spectrum utilization. Spectrum sensing performed by secondary users to detect unoccupied spectrum bands,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-29 Yan Xin , Honghai Zhang

The essence of sequential recommender systems (RecSys) lies in understanding how users make decisions. Most existing approaches frame the task as sequential prediction based on users' historical purchase records. While effective in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Xiaoyu Liu , Jiaxin Yuan , Yuhang Zhou , Jingling Li , Furong Huang , Wei Ai

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters, constitute a class of algorithms used to approximate expectations with respect to a sequence of probability distributions as well as the normalising constants of those…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-14 Axel Finke , Arnaud Doucet , Adam M. Johansen

We study the problem of variable selection in convex nonparametric regression. Under the assumption that the true regression function is convex and sparse, we develop a screening procedure to select a subset of variables that contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Min Xu , Minhua Chen , John Lafferty

As a powerful way of realizing semi-supervised segmentation, the cross supervision method learns cross consistency based on independent ensemble models using abundant unlabeled images. However, the wrong pseudo labeling information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Yunyang Zhang , Zhiqiang Gong , Xiaohu Zheng , Xiaoyu Zhao , Wen Yao

In comparative studies, such as in causal inference and clinical trials, balancing important covariates is often one of the most important concerns for both efficient and credible comparison. However, chance imbalance still exists in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-30 Yichen Qin , Yang Li , Wei Ma , Feifang Hu

In many Phase II statistical process control (SPC) problems, the main concern is not whether a monitored process has ever changed, but whether it is currently operating at an acceptable level. This distinction is especially important when…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gordon J. Ross

We investigate the stability of a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method applied to the problem of sampling from a target distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ for large $d$. It is well known that using a single importance sampling step one produces…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-19 Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra

Spectral clustering is a popular method for effectively clustering nonlinearly separable data. However, computational limitations, memory requirements, and the inability to perform incremental learning challenge its widespread application.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Jo-Chun Chen , Hung-Hsuan Chen

We aim to incorporate variable selection routines into variable-by-variable (or sequential) imputation in clustered data to achieve computational improvement in applications with large-scale health data. Specifically, we utilize variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Social scientists often study how a policy reform impacted a single targeted country. Increasingly, this is done with the synthetic control method (SCM). SCM models the country's counterfactual (non-reform or untreated) trajectory as a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Elias Tuomaala