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Applying machine learning (ML) on multivariate time series data has growing popularity in many application domains, including in computer system management. For example, recent high performance computing (HPC) research proposes a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Emre Ates , Burak Aksar , Vitus J. Leung , Ayse K. Coskun

Stress testing poses a causal question: how would portfolio credit losses change if the macroeconomy followed an adverse counterfactual path? Yet standard practice remains predictive and might be therefore vulnerable to omitted-variable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yu Wang , Xiangchen Liu , Siguang Li

The imminent need to interpret the output of a Machine Learning model with counterfactual (CF) explanations - via small perturbations to the input - has been notable in the research community. Although the variety of CF examples is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Kleopatra Markou , Dimitrios Tomaras , Vana Kalogeraki , Dimitrios Gunopulos

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

Wearable devices that measure and record physiological signals are now becoming widely available to the general public with ever-increasing affordability and signal quality. The data from these devices introduce serious ethical challenges…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Keith Davis , Tuukka Ruotsalo

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

We present a novel generative method for producing unseen and plausible counterfactual examples for reinforcement learning (RL) agents based upon outcome variables that characterize agent behavior. Our approach uses a variational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Eric Yeh , Pedro Sequeira , Jesse Hostetler , Melinda Gervasio

We regularly consider answering counterfactual questions in practice, such as "Would people with diabetes take a turn for the better had they choose another medication?". Observational studies are growing in significance in answering such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

With the wide use of deep neural networks (DNN), model interpretability has become a critical concern, since explainable decisions are preferred in high-stake scenarios. Current interpretation techniques mainly focus on the feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Fan Yang , Ninghao Liu , Mengnan Du , Xia Hu

We present PhysioLLM, an interactive system that leverages large language models (LLMs) to provide personalized health understanding and exploration by integrating physiological data from wearables with contextual information. Unlike…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Cathy Mengying Fang , Valdemar Danry , Nathan Whitmore , Andria Bao , Andrew Hutchison , Cayden Pierce , Pattie Maes

Interactive recommendation is able to learn from the interactive processes between users and systems to confront the dynamic interests of users. Recent advances have convinced that the ability of reinforcement learning to handle the dynamic…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Siyu Wang , Xiaocong Chen , Lina Yao

Objective: This work introduces a framework for multivariate time series analysis aimed at detecting and quantifying collective emerging behaviors in the dynamics of physiological networks. Methods: Given a network system mapped by a vector…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Luca Faes , Gorana Mijatovic , Laura Sparacino , Alberto Porta

Counterfactual explanations elucidate algorithmic decisions by pointing to scenarios that would have led to an alternative, desired outcome. Giving insight into the model's behavior, they hint users towards possible actions and give grounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-05 Susanne Dandl , Kristin Blesch , Timo Freiesleben , Gunnar König , Jan Kapar , Bernd Bischl , Marvin Wright

We propose a novel training regime termed counterfactual training that leverages counterfactual explanations to increase the explanatory capacity of models. Counterfactual explanations have emerged as a popular post-hoc explanation method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Patrick Altmeyer , Aleksander Buszydlik , Arie van Deursen , Cynthia C. S. Liem

Big spatio-temporal datasets, available through both open and administrative data sources, offer significant potential for social science research. The magnitude of the data allows for increased resolution and analysis at individual level.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-27 Anastasia Ushakova , Slava J. Mikhaylov

Dynamic prediction of locomotor capacity after stroke could enable more individualized rehabilitation, yet current assessments largely provide static impairment scores and do not indicate whether patients can perform specific tasks such as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yanning Dai , Chenyu Tang , Ruizhi Zhang , Wenyu Yang , Yilan Zhang , Yuhui Wang , Junliang Chen , Xuhang Chen , Ruimou Xie , Yangyue Cao , Qiaoying Li , Jin Cao , Tao Li , Hubin Zhao , Yu Pan , Arokia Nathan , Xin Gao , Peter Smielewski , Shuo Gao

Temporal context in medicine is valuable in assessing key changes in patient health over time. We developed a machine learning framework to integrate diverse context from prior visits to improve health monitoring, especially when prior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Lavanya Umapathy , Patricia M Johnson , Tarun Dutt , Angela Tong , Madhur Nayan , Hersh Chandarana , Daniel K Sodickson

Personalized fall detection models can significantly improve accuracy by adapting to individual motion patterns, yet their effectiveness is often limited by the scarcity of real-world fall data and the dominance of non-fall feedback…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Awatif Yasmin , Tarek Mahmud , Sana Alamgeer , Anne H. H. Ngu

Algorithmic risk assessments are increasingly used to help humans make decisions in high-stakes settings, such as medicine, criminal justice and education. In each of these cases, the purpose of the risk assessment tool is to inform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Amanda Coston , Alan Mishler , Edward H. Kennedy , Alexandra Chouldechova

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu
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