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Recent works have increasingly applied Large Language Models (LLMs) as agents in financial stock market simulations to test if micro-level behaviors aggregate into macro-level phenomena. However, a crucial question arises: Do LLM agents'…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-25 Zeping Li , Guancheng Wan , Keyang Chen , Yu Chen , Yiwen Zhao , Philip Torr , Guangnan Ye , Zhenfei Yin , Hongfeng Chai

"Fedspeak", the stylized and often nuanced language used by the U.S. Federal Reserve, encodes implicit policy signals and strategic stances. The Federal Open Market Committee strategically employs Fedspeak as a communication tool to shape…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Rui Yao , Qi Chai , Jinhai Yao , Siyuan Li , Junhao Chen , Qi Zhang , Hao Wang

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated an unprecedented ability to simulate human-like social behaviors, making them useful tools for simulating complex social systems. However, it remains unclear to what extent these simulations…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Erica Cau , Andrea Failla , Giulio Rossetti

The deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) as autonomous economic agents introduces systemic risks that extend beyond individual capability failures. As agents transition to directly interacting with marketplaces, their collective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Seth Karten , Cameron Crow , Chi Jin

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

This paper explores how Large Language Models (LLMs) behave in a classic experimental finance paradigm widely known for eliciting bubbles and crashes in human participants. We adapt an established trading design, where traders buy and sell…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Thomas Henning , Siddhartha M. Ojha , Ross Spoon , Jiatong Han , Colin F. Camerer

Financial markets exhibit complex dynamics where localized events trigger ripple effects across entities. Previous event studies, constrained by static single-company analyses and simplistic assumptions, fail to capture these ripple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Yuanjian Xu , Jianing Hao , Kunsheng Tang , Jingnan Chen , Anxian Liu , Peng Liu , Guang Zhang

Human annotators frequently disagree on emotion labels, yet most evaluations of Large Language Model (LLM) emotion annotation collapse these judgments into a single gold standard, discarding the distributional information that disagreement…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Keito Inoshita , Xiaokang Zhou , Akira Kawai , Katsutoshi Yada

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used for writing economic analysis reports or providing financial advice, but their ability to understand economic knowledge and reason about potential results of specific economic events lacks…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Yue Guo , Yi Yang

The impressive capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) raise the possibility that synthetic agents can serve as substitutes for real participants in human-subject research. To evaluate this claim, prior research has largely focused on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 James Mooney , Josef Woldense , Zheng Robert Jia , Shirley Anugrah Hayati , My Ha Nguyen , Vipul Raheja , Dongyeop Kang

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in high-stakes settings, where overconfident responses can mislead users. Reliable confidence estimation has been shown to enhance trust and task accuracy. Yet existing methods face…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Linwei Tao , Yi-Fan Yeh , Bo Kai , Minjing Dong , Tao Huang , Tom A. Lamb , Jialin Yu , Philip H. S. Torr , Chang Xu

This study explores the influence of FOMC sentiment on market expectations, focusing on cognitive differences between experts and non-experts. Using sentiment analysis of FOMC minutes, we integrate these insights into a bounded rationality…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Wonseong Kim , Choong Lyol Lee

Central banks around the world play a crucial role in maintaining economic stability. Deciphering policy implications in their communications is essential, especially as misinterpretations can disproportionately impact vulnerable…

Language models (LMs) are statistical models trained to assign probability to human-generated text. As such, it is reasonable to question whether they approximate linguistic variability exhibited by humans well. This form of statistical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Evgenia Ilia , Wilker Aziz

How do product teams evaluate LLM-powered products? As organizations integrate large language models (LLMs) into digital products, their unpredictable nature makes traditional evaluation approaches inadequate, yet little is known about how…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Willem van der Maden , Malak Sadek , Ziang Xiao , Aske Mottelson , Q. Vera Liao , Jichen Zhu

Although most people support climate action, widespread underestimation of others' support stalls individual and systemic changes. In this preregistered experiment, we test whether large language models (LLMs) can reliably predict these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Nattavudh Powdthavee , Sandra J. Geiger

The financial turmoil surrounding the Great Recession called for unprecedented intervention by Central Banks: unconventional policies affected various areas in the economy, including stock market volatility. In order to evaluate such…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-23 Giampiero M. Gallo , Demetrio Lacava , Edoardo Otranto

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in agentic frameworks, in which prompts trigger complex tool-based analysis in pursuit of a goal. While these frameworks have shown promise across multiple domains including in finance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-14 Dimitrios Emmanoulopoulos , Ollie Olby , Justin Lyon , Namid R. Stillman

Large language models (LLMs) play a vital role in almost every domain in today's organizations. In the context of this work, we highlight the use of LLMs for sentiment analysis (SA) and explainability. Specifically, we contribute a novel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Lior Limonad , Fabiana Fournier , Juan Manuel Vera Díaz , Inna Skarbovsky , Shlomit Gur , Raquel Lazcano

Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled multi-agent systems that simulate real-world interactions with near-human reasoning. While previous studies have extensively examined biases related to protected attributes such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Min Choi , Keonwoo Kim , Sungwon Chae , Sangyeob Baek