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This work investigates the performance of the final iterate produced by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) under temporally dependent data. We consider two complementary sources of dependence: $(i)$ martingale-type dependence in both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Yinan Shen , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

Learning the distribution of a continuous or categorical response variable $\boldsymbol y$ given its covariates $\boldsymbol x$ is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Deep neural network-based supervised learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-07 Xizewen Han , Huangjie Zheng , Mingyuan Zhou

This article proposes inference procedures for distribution regression models in duration analysis using randomly right-censored data. This generalizes classical duration models by allowing situations where explanatory variables' marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-29 Miguel A. Delgado , Andrés García-Suaza , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

We propose a generic Bayesian framework for inference in distributional regression models in which each parameter of a potentially complex response distribution and not only the mean is related to a structured additive predictor. The latter…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-18 Nadja Klein , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Alexander Sohn

Rank regression offers robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed response distributions, invariance to monotonic transformations, and improved efficiency under non-Gaussian errors, making it a versatile tool for analyzing complex data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Jiyuan Tu , Suqi Wu , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider a a collection of categorical random variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on an outcome variable following an intervention on another variable. Conditionally on a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), we assume that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni , Marco Luigi Della Vedova

There is a dearth of robust methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. This paper uses two unique sets of simulations to propose and evaluate the use of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu , Michael Lopez , Jiayi Ji , Juan Wisnivesky

Regression with distribution-valued responses and Euclidean predictors has gained increasing scientific relevance. While methodology for univariate distributional data has advanced rapidly in recent years, multivariate distributions, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Junyoung Park , Irina Gaynanova

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

Dimensionality reduction (DR) algorithms compress high-dimensional data into a lower dimensional representation while preserving important features of the data. DR is a critical step in many analysis pipelines as it enables visualisation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Aditya Ravuri , Francisco Vargas , Vidhi Lalchand , Neil D. Lawrence

In reinforcement learning (RL), the consideration of multivariate reward signals has led to fundamental advancements in multi-objective decision-making, transfer learning, and representation learning. This work introduces the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Harley Wiltzer , Jesse Farebrother , Arthur Gretton , Mark Rowland

In this paper, we aim to forecast a future trajectory distribution of a moving agent in the real world, given the social scene images and historical trajectories. Yet, it is a challenging task because the ground-truth distribution is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Ke Guo , Wenxi Liu , Jia Pan

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

Since distribution shifts are common in real-world applications, there is a pressing need to develop prediction models that are robust against such shifts. Existing frameworks, such as empirical risk minimization or distributionally robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Xinwei Shen , Peter Bühlmann , Armeen Taeb

Real-life machine learning problems exhibit distributional shifts in the data from one time to another or from one place to another. This behavior is beyond the scope of the traditional empirical risk minimization paradigm, which assumes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Timothy DeLise

Many diseases and traits involve a complex interplay between genes and environment, generating significant interest in studying gene-environment interaction through observational data. However, for lifestyle and environmental risk factors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Malka Gorfine , Conghui Qu , Ulrike Peters , Li Hsu

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie