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Predictive modeling plays key role in providing accurate prognosis and enables us to take a step closer to personalized treatment. We identified two potential sources of human induced biases that can lead to disparate conclusions. We…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

The recent coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has dramatically increased the public awareness and appreciation of the utility of dynamic models. At the same time, the dissemination of contradictory model predictions has highlighted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-26 Gemma Massonis , Julio R. Banga , Alejandro F. Villaverde

Machine-learned diagnosis models have shown promise as medical aides but are trained under a closed-set assumption, i.e. that models will only encounter conditions on which they have been trained. However, it is practically infeasible to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Viraj Prabhu , Anitha Kannan , Geoffrey J. Tso , Namit Katariya , Manish Chablani , David Sontag , Xavier Amatriain

During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy. Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,…

Real-time forecasting of disease outbreaks requires standardized outputs generated in a timely manner. Development of pipelines to automate infectious disease forecasts can ensure that parameterization and software dependencies are common…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-11 VP Nagraj , Chris Hulme-Lowe , Shakeel Jessa , Stephen D. Turner

Foundation models have emerged as a powerful paradigm in computational pathology (CPath), enabling scalable and generalizable analysis of histopathological images. While early developments centered on uni-modal models trained solely on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Dong Li , Guihong Wan , Xintao Wu , Xinyu Wu , Xiaohui Chen , Yi He , Christine G. Lian , Peter K. Sorger , Yevgeniy R. Semenov , Chen Zhao

Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Andrew C. Miller , Leon A. Gatys , Joseph Futoma , Emily B. Fox

Mathematical modeling of disease spreading plays a crucial role in understanding, controlling and preventing epidemic outbreaks. In a microscopic description of the propagation of a disease over the complex network of human contacts, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-08 Federico Malizia , Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for effective public health interventions. This study compares Bayesian and Frequentist estimation frameworks within deterministic compartmental epidemic models, focusing on nonlinear least squares…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-09 Hamed Karami , Ruiyan Luo , Pejman Sanaei , Gerardo Chowell

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi

This study explores the potential of zero-shot time series forecasting, an innovative approach leveraging pre-trained foundation models, to forecast mortality rates without task-specific fine-tuning. We evaluate two state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Gabor Petnehazi , Laith Al Shaggah , Jozsef Gall , Bernadett Aradi

Accurate delineation of anatomical structures in volumetric CT scans is crucial for diagnosis and treatment planning. While AI has advanced automated segmentation, current approaches typically target individual structures, creating a…

The need to forecast COVID-19 related variables continues to be pressing as the epidemic unfolds. Different efforts have been made, with compartmental models in epidemiology and statistical models such as AutoRegressive Integrated Moving…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Juan F. Rendon-Sanchez

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

Foundation models (FMs) are large-scale deep learning models trained on massive datasets, often using self-supervised learning techniques. These models serve as a versatile base for a wide range of downstream tasks, including those in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Wasif Khan , Seowung Leem , Kyle B. See , Joshua K. Wong , Shaoting Zhang , Ruogu Fang

Time-series forecasting and causal discovery are central in neuroscience, as predicting brain activity and identifying causal relationships between neural populations and circuits can shed light on the mechanisms underlying cognition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Alessandro Crimi , Andrea Brovelli

In network-based SIS models of infectious disease transmission, infection can only occur between directly connected individuals. This constraint naturally gives rise to spatial correlations between the states of neighboring nodes, as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-18 Alexander Leibenzon , Samuel W. S. Johnson , Ruth E. Baker , Michael Assaf

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

The COVID-19 pandemic has had worldwide devastating effects on human lives, highlighting the need for tools to predict its development. Dynamics of such public-health threats can often be efficiently analysed through simple models that help…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-04 Pedro L. de Andres , Lucia de Andres-Bragado , Linard D. Hoessly

The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly worldwide, overwhelming manual contact tracing in many countries and resulting in widespread lockdowns for emergency containment. Large-scale digital contact tracing (DCT) has emerged as a potential…