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Structural reliability analysis is concerned with estimation of the probability of a critical event taking place, described by $P(g(\textbf{X}) \leq 0)$ for some $n$-dimensional random variable $\textbf{X}$ and some real-valued function…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Christian Agrell , Kristina Rognlien Dahl

Although Fault Tree and Event Tree analysis are still today the standard approach to system safety analysis for many engineering sectors, these techniques lack the capabilities of fully capturing the realistic, dynamic behaviour of complex…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Silvia Tolo , John Andrews

While deep learning has significantly advanced accident anticipation, the robustness of these safety-critical systems against real-world perturbations remains a major challenge. We reveal that state-of-the-art models like CRASH, despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Wenjing Wang , Wenxuan Wang , Songning Lai

This paper presents the core principles of reliability in software engineering - outlining why reliability testing is critical and specifying the process of measuring reliability. The paper provides insight for both novice and experts in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Kevin Taylor-Sakyi

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Engineering risk is concerned with the likelihood of failure and the scenarios when it occurs. The sensitivity of failure probability to change in system parameters is relevant to risk-informed decision making. Computing sensitivity is at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Siu-Kui Au , Zi-Jun Cao

Fault intensity diagnosis (FID) plays a pivotal role in intelligent manufacturing while neglecting dependencies among target classes hinders its practical deployment. This paper introduces a novel and general framework with deep…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Yu Sha , Shuiping Gou , Bo Liu , Haofan Lu , Ningtao Liu , Jiahui Fu , Horst Stoecker , Domagoj Vnucec , Nadine Wetzstein , Andreas Widl , Kai Zhou

The wide availability of data coupled with the computational advances in artificial intelligence and machine learning promise to enable many future technologies such as autonomous driving. While there has been a variety of successful…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Lars Lindemann , Lejun Jiang , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

Software reliability models are an important tool in quality management and release planning. There is a large number of different models that often exhibit strengths in different areas. This paper proposes a model that is based on a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-12-13 Stefan Wagner , Helmut Fischer

Reasoning about causes and effects naturally arises in the engineering of safety-critical systems. A classical example is Fault Tree Analysis, a deductive technique used for system safety assessment, whereby an undesired state is reduced to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Marco Bozzano

The aging population is growing rapidly, and so is the danger of falls in older adults. A major cause of injury is falling, and detection in time can greatly save medical expenses and recovery time. However, to provide timely intervention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Seyed Alireza Rahimi Azghadi , Truong-Thanh-Hung Nguyen , Helene Fournier , Monica Wachowicz , Rene Richard , Francis Palma , Hung Cao

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

This paper introduces the Index of Future Readiness (IFR), a novel framework for assessing a country's capacity to withstand, adapt to, and prosper within an environment of continuous and accelerating change. The framework builds on the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-03 Ali Qassim Jawad , Xavier Sala-i-Martin

Reasoning about safety, security, and other dependability attributes of autonomous systems is a challenge that needs to be addressed before the adoption of such systems in day-to-day life. Formal methods is a class of methods that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Ashfaq Farooqui , Behrooz Sangchoolie

Reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) requires repeated estimation of small failure probabilities and their gradients, making conventional nested Monte Carlo approaches computationally prohibitive for large scale structural…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Maryam Maghazeh , Ayyappan Unnikrishna Pillai , Mohammad Masiur Rahaman , Subhayan De

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

Interconnected systems such as power systems and chemical processes are often required to satisfy safety properties in the presence of faults and attacks. Verifying safety of these systems, however, is computationally challenging due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Luyao Niu , Abdullah Al Maruf , Andrew Clark , J. Sukarno Mertoguno , Radha Poovendran

In reliability-based design, the estimation of the failure probability is a crucial objective. However, focusing only on the occurrence of the failure event may be insufficient to entirely characterize the reliability of the considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Pierre Derennes , Jerome Morio , Florian Simatos

Fragility curves which express the failure probability of a structure, or critical components, as function of a loading intensity measure are nowadays widely used (i) in Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment studies, (ii) to evaluate impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Rémi Sainct , Cyril Feau , Jean-Marc Martinez , Josselin Garnier