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Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

The worst-case complexity of group-theoretic algorithms has been studied for a long time. Generic-case complexity, or complexity on random inputs, was introduced and studied relatively recently. In this paper, we address the average-case…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Alexander Olshanskii , Vladimir Shpilrain

We study a counterfactual mean-variance optimization, where the mean and variance are defined as functionals of counterfactual distributions. The optimization problem defines the optimal resource allocation under various constraints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Kwangho Kim , Alan Mishler , José R. Zubizarreta

This paper provides a framework for estimating the mean and variance of a high-dimensional normal density. The main setting considered is a fixed number of vector following a high-dimensional normal distribution with unknown mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-07 Shyamalendu Sinha , Jeffrey D. Hart

Popular measures of meta-analysis heterogeneity, such as $I^2$, cannot be considered measures of population heterogeneity since they are dependant on samples sizes within studies. The coefficient of variation (CV) recently introduced and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Maxwell Cairns , Luke Prendergast

Nonparametric estimators for the mean and the covariance functions of functional data are proposed. The setup covers a wide range of practical situations. The random trajectories are, not necessarily differentiable, have unknown regularity,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

Bayesian optimisation is a popular approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. The next location to be evaluated is selected via maximising an acquisition function that balances exploitation and exploration. Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 George De Ath , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Richard M. Everson

Valuations, as additive functionals, allow various applications in Stochastic Geometry, yielding mean value formulas for specific random closed sets and processes of convex or polyconvex particles. In particular, valuations are especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Julia Hörrmann , Wolfgang Weil

It is well known that individual parameters of strongly correlated predictor variables in a linear model cannot be accurately estimated by the least squares regression due to multicollinearity generated by such variables. Surprisingly, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Min Tsao

We present a procedure for averaging one-parameter random unitary groups and random self-adjoint groups. Central to this is a generalization of the notion of weak convergence of a sequence of measures and the corresponding generalization of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-07-13 John E. Gough , Yurii N. Orlov , Vsevolod Zh. Sakbaev , Oleg G. Smolyanov

We discuss the possibilities and limitations of estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable from independent and identically distributed observations from a non-asymptotic point of view. In particular, we define estimators with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Luc Devroye , Matthieu Lerasle , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

A popular setting in medical statistics is a group sequential trial with independent and identically distributed normal outcomes, in which interim analyses of the sum of the outcomes are performed. Based on a prescribed stopping rule, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Ben Berckmoes , Anna Ivanova , Geert Molenberghs

In this paper we study two types of means of the entries of a nonnegative matrix: the \emph{permanental mean}, which is defined using permanents, and the \emph{scaling mean}, which is defined in terms of an optimization problem. We explore…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Jairo Bochi , Godofredo Iommi , Mario Ponce

The covariance of two random variables measures the average joint deviations from their respective means. We generalise this well-known measure by replacing the means with other statistical functionals such as quantiles, expectiles, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Tobias Fissler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Averaging physical quantities over Lie groups appears in many contexts across the rapidly developing branches of physics like quantum information science or quantum optics. Such an averaging process can be always represented as averaging…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Marcin Markiewicz , Janusz Przewocki

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

We consider two variants of a quantum-statistical generalization of the Cramer-Rao inequality that establishes an invariant lower bound on the mean square error of a generalized quantum measurement. The proposed complex variant of this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. P. Belavkin

Robust statistics aims to compute quantities to represent data where a fraction of it may be arbitrarily corrupted. The most essential statistic is the mean, and in recent years, there has been a flurry of theoretical advancement for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Cullen Anderson , Jeff M. Phillips

Conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) have proven themselves to be a powerful tool in many machine learning applications. They allow the efficient conditioning of probability distributions within the corresponding reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Ilja Klebanov , Ingmar Schuster , T. J. Sullivan

During the study of the topic of limit summability of functions (introduced by the author in 2001), we encountered some types of functions that are related to the mean value theorem. In this paper, we formally define mean value and…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-10-01 M. H. Hooshmand