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Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is the first theory for decision-making under uncertainty that combines full theoretical soundness and empirically realistic features [P.P. Wakker - Prospect theory: For risk and ambiguity, Page 2]. While…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Thomas Brihaye , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Stefanie Mohr , Maximilian Weininger

Counterfactual explanations for black-box models aim to pr ovide insight into an algorithmic decision to its recipient. For a binary classification problem an individual counterfactual details which features might be changed for the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 James M. Adams , Gesine Reinert , Lukasz Szpruch , Carsten Maple , Andrew Elliott

Data-driven decision making frequently relies on predicting counterfactual outcomes. In practice, researchers commonly train counterfactual prediction models on a source dataset to inform decisions on a possibly separate target population.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Keith Barnatchez , Kevin P. Josey , Rachel C. Nethery , Giovanni Parmigiani

Optimization layers in deep neural networks have enjoyed a growing popularity in structured learning, improving the state of the art on a variety of applications. Yet, these pipelines lack interpretability since they are made of two opaque…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Germain Vivier-Ardisson , Alexandre Forel , Axel Parmentier , Thibaut Vidal

As machine learning models evolve, maintaining transparency demands more human-centric explainable AI techniques. Counterfactual explanations, with roots in human reasoning, identify the minimal input changes needed to obtain a given output…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Marharyta Domnich , Julius Välja , Rasmus Moorits Veski , Giacomo Magnifico , Kadi Tulver , Eduard Barbu , Raul Vicente

Counterfactual reasoning -- envisioning hypothetical scenarios, or possible worlds, where some circumstances are different from what (f)actually occurred (counter-to-fact) -- is ubiquitous in human cognition. Conventionally,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Julius von Kügelgen , Abdirisak Mohamed , Sander Beckers

Counterfactual explanation is a form of interpretable machine learning that generates perturbations on a sample to achieve the desired outcome. The generated samples can act as instructions to guide end users on how to observe the desired…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Accurate prediction of solar energetic particle events is vital for safeguarding satellites, astronauts, and space-based infrastructure. Modern space weather monitoring generates massive volumes of high-frequency, multivariate time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Pranjal Patil , Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin

The Cognitive Theory of True Conditions (CTTC) is a proposal to design the implementation of cognitive abilities and to describe the model-theoretic semantics of symbolic cognitive architectures. The CTTC is formulated mathematically using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-08 Sergio Miguel-Tomé

Recommender system practitioners are facing increasing pressure to explain recommendations. We explore how to explain recommendations using counterfactual logic, i.e. "Had you not interacted with the following items, we would not recommend…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Yuanshun Yao , Chong Wang , Hang Li

Traffic flow prediction (TFP) is a fundamental problem of the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), as it models the latent spatial-temporal dependency of traffic flow for potential congestion prediction. Recent graph-based models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Ying Yang , Kai Du , Xingyuan Dai , Jianwu Fang

Counterfactual, serving as one emerging type of model explanation, has attracted tons of attentions recently from both industry and academia. Different from the conventional feature-based explanations (e.g., attributions), counterfactuals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Fan Yang , Qizhang Feng , Kaixiong Zhou , Jiahao Chen , Xia Hu

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have been widely used for modeling event sequences on the Web, such as user reviews, social media posts, and online transactions. However, traditional TPP models often struggle to effectively incorporate the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Yang Liu , Panrong Tong , Enqi Liu , Feng Zhou

Predictive process analytics focuses on predicting future states, such as the outcome of running process instances. These techniques often use machine learning models or deep learning models (such as LSTM) to make such predictions. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Olusanmi Hundogan , Xixi Lu , Yupei Du , Hajo A. Reijers

Interactive constraint systems often suffer from infeasibility (no solution) due to conflicting user constraints. A common approach to recover infeasibility is to eliminate the constraints that cause the conflicts in the system. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Sharmi Dev Gupta , Begum Genc , Barry O'Sullivan

Present language understanding methods have demonstrated extraordinary ability of recognizing patterns in texts via machine learning. However, existing methods indiscriminately use the recognized patterns in the testing phase that is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Fuli Feng , Jizhi Zhang , Xiangnan He , Hanwang Zhang , Tat-Seng Chua

Temporal link prediction (TLP) models are commonly evaluated based on predictive accuracy, yet such evaluations do not assess whether these models capture the causal mechanisms that govern temporal interactions. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Aniq Ur Rahman , Justin P. Coon

Learning rewards from human behaviour or feedback is a promising approach to aligning AI systems with human values but fails to consistently extract correct reward functions. Interpretability tools could enable users to understand and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Jan Wehner , Frans Oliehoek , Luciano Cavalcante Siebert

Explaining sophisticated machine-learning based systems is an important issue at the foundations of AI. Recent efforts have shown various methods for providing explanations. These approaches can be broadly divided into two schools: those…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Nicholas Asher , Soumya Paul , Chris Russell

Explainability, in particular, the ability for robots to explain why they have made a decision or behaved in a certain way, is a critical tool in helping users understand the robots they interact and coexist with. Behaviour trees are a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Tamlin Love , Antonio Andriella , Guillem Alenyà
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