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Concentration inequalities have become increasingly popular in machine learning, probability, and statistical research. Using concentration inequalities, one can construct confidence intervals (CIs) for many quantities of interest.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Hien D. Nguyen

It is well known that the empirical likelihood ratio confidence region suffers finite sample under-coverage issue, and this severely hampers its application in statistical inferences.} The root cause of this under-coverage is an upper limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-16 Guangxing Wang , Wolfgang Polonik

Performance uncertainty quantification is essential for reliable validation and eventual clinical translation of medical imaging artificial intelligence (AI). Confidence intervals (CIs) play a central role in this process by indicating how…

We consider a robust version of the classical Wald test statistics for testing simple and composite null hypotheses for general parametric models. These test statistics are based on the minimum density power divergence estimators instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

The bootstrap, based on resampling, has, for several decades, been a widely used method for computing confidence intervals for applications where no exact method is available and when sample sizes are not large enough to be able to rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-27 Chris Gotwalt , Li Xu , Yili Hong , William Q. Meeker

Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is widely used in many areas when data are subject to unrepresentativeness, missingness, or selection bias. An inevitable challenge with the use of IPW is that the IPW estimator can be remarkably unstable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-29 Yukun Liu , Yan Fan

We consider the estimation of rare-event probabilities using sample proportions output by naive Monte Carlo or collected data. Unlike using variance reduction techniques, this naive estimator does not have a priori relative efficiency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam

We consider inference in regression discontinuity designs when the running variable only takes a moderate number of distinct values. In particular, we study the common practice of using confidence intervals (CIs) based on standard errors…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-26 Michal Kolesár , Christoph Rothe

Survival analysis aims to explore the relationship between covariates and the time until the occurrence of an event. The Cox proportional hazards model is commonly used for right-censored data, but it is not strictly limited to this type of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-02 Abdoulaye Dioni , Lynne Moore , Aida Eslami

The Cox regression model is a popular model for analyzing the relationship between a covariate and a survival endpoint. The standard Cox model assumes a constant covariate effect across the entire covariate domain. However, in many…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-02 Sarit Agami , David M. Zucker , Donna Spiegelman

Knowing the true effect size of clinical interventions in randomised clinical trials is key to informing the public health policies. Vaccine efficacy is defined in terms of the relative risk or the ratio of two disease risks. However, only…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-03 Yasin Memari

We investigate the likelihood ratio test for a large block-diagonal covariance matrix with an increasing number of blocks under the null hypothesis. While so far the likelihood ratio statistic has only been studied for normal populations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Nina Dörnemann

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

Sample size determination for cluster randomised trials (CRTs) is challenging as it requires robust estimation of the intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC). Typically, the sample size is chosen to provide a certain level of power to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-23 S. Faye Williamson , Svetlana V. Tishkovskaya , Kevin J. Wilson

There has been growing attention on how to effectively and objectively use covariate information when the primary goal is to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). In this paper, we propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yuanyao Tan , Xialing Wen , Wei Liang , Ying Yan

This paper discusses estimation and limited information goodness-of-fit test statistics in factor models for binary data using pairwise likelihood estimation and sampling weights. The paper extends the applicability of pairwise likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Haziq Jamil , Irini Moustaki , Chris Skinner

It is well known that it is impossible to construct useful confidence intervals (CIs) about the mean or median of a response $Y$ conditional on features $X = x$ without making strong assumptions about the joint distribution of $X$ and $Y$.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jayoon Jang , Emmanuel Candès

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini